Match Info

Liga 3 - Round 10

Date: 7 May 2026, Thursday


	Iberia 2010		Margveti Zestafoni

	1	X	2
	3.04	3.46	2.08
	3	3.4	2
	3.51	3.72	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.18 ↑ (2.5)	3.53 ↑ (3.3)	1.99 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Iberia 2010
28.6%

Draw
25.8%

Margveti Zestafoni
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

27.7%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

26%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Iberia 2010 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Iberia 2010's form might have worsened.

Margveti Zestafoni has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Margveti Zestafoni's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iberia 2010 than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Iberia 2010, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Margveti Zestafoni than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Margveti Zestafoni, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Iberia 2010 - Margveti Zestafoni Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Papava S. ⚽,
15', 1 - 1, Cholokava D. ⚽,
28', 2 - 1, Gabelaia N. ⚽,
45+2', 2 - 2, Gachechiladze N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
70', 2 - 3, Kakushadze B. ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Iberia 2010 has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Margveti's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Margveti may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Margveti 2006	22	9	3	10	30:35	-5	30
16	Iberia 2010	22	2	5	15	18:56	-38	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Iberia 2010
Georgian Liga 3
29.04.26	Iberia 2010 - Betlemi Keda	0:3 ✺
24.04.26	Merani Tbilisi - Iberia 2010	2:0 ✺
20.04.26	Tbilisi 2025 - Iberia 2010	7:0 ✺
16.04.26	Iberia 2010 - Didube	1:4 ✺
09.04.26	Orbi - Iberia 2010	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Margveti Zestafoni
Georgian Liga 3
03.05.26	Margveti Zestafoni - Kolkheti Khobi	0:2 ✺
29.04.26	Guria Lanchkhuti - Margveti Zestafoni	5:0 ✺
16.04.26	Margveti Zestafoni - Betlemi Keda	2:2 ✺
09.04.26	Merani Tbilisi - Margveti Zestafoni	3:2 ✺
02.04.26	Margveti Zestafoni - Didube	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLTLT

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