Match Info

EUROPE: UEFA Nations League - League B/C - Relegation - Final

Date: 23 March 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Enrique Roca (Murcia) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Manzano J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, SuperSport OTT 1
Albania	18:00	SuperSport 1, SuperSport 2
Argentina	14:00	Disney+
Armenia	21:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Australia	04:00	Optus Sport
Austria	18:00	DAZN
Belgium	18:00	DAZN 1
Brazil	14:00	Disney+
Canada	13:00	DAZN Canada
Chile	14:00	Disney+
China	01:00	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	12:00	Disney+
Denmark	18:00	TV2 Play
Finland	19:00	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
Germany	18:00	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	19:00	Nova Sports Start
Iceland	17:00	Stod 2 Sport, Viaplay
India	22:30	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 5, Vision+
Indonesia	00:00	K-Vision
Japan	02:00	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	18:00	ART Motion Sport 1, RTK 1
Mexico	11:00	Sky Sport
New Zealand	06:00	Sky Sport 5
Nigeria	18:00	SuperSport OTT 1
North Central America	—	Csport Caribbean
Norway	18:00	TV2 Play
Pakistan	22:00	Tapmad
Peru	12:00	Disney+
Romania	19:00	Prima Sport 1, Prima Sport PPV 1
Russia	20:00	Okko Sport
South Africa	19:00	SuperSport OTT 1
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Sweden	18:00	Viaplay
Switzerland	18:00	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	20:00	Exxen
Ukraine	19:00	MEGOGO Futbol 6
Uruguay	14:00	Disney+
Usa	13:00	Fox Soccer Plus
Venezuela	13:00	Disney+
Vietnam	00:00	TV 360
International	17:00	Disney+, VIX App


	Iceland		Kosovo

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.4	2.7
	2.37	3.2	2.8
	2.6	3.3	2.75
	2.64	3.22	2.77	Watch
	2.7	3.46	2.81	Watch
	2.6	3.3	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.25)	3.31 ↓ (3.38)	2.76 ↓ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

Watch this match and UEFA Nations League with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: FOX Soccer Plus

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Current Win Probability

Iceland
36.8%

Draw
28.7%

Kosovo
34.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.9%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Iceland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Iceland's form might have worsened.

Kosovo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kosovo's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
48%	24%	28%

Iceland - Kosovo Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Iceland will win (votes: 12 - 48%). Kosovo will win (votes: 7 - 28%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 24%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Iceland: 28.4% – 67.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Valdimarsson H. R. (G) Brentford 3. Fridriksson V. Dusseldorf 15. Willumsson W. T. Birmingham 5. Ingason S. I. Panathinaikos 21. Traustason A. I. Norrkoping 16. Thordarson S. T. Preston 6. Johannesson I. Dusseldorf 14. Helgason T. J. Lecce 11. Thorsteinsson J. D. Hertha Berlin 10. Gudmundsson A. Fiorentina 9. Oskarsson O. (C) Real Sociedad	16. Saipi A. (G) Lugano 15. Vojvoda M. Como 13. Rrahmani A. (C) Napoli 5. Dellova L. CSKA Sofia 23. Paqarada L. 1. FC Koln 20. Demaku V. Altach 6. Rexhbecaj E. Augsburg 17. Krasniqi E. Sparta Prague 7. Rashica M. Besiktas 8. Muslija F. Freiburg 18. Muriqi V. Mallorca
Substitutes
19. Bjarkason B. Venezia 23. Ellertsson M. E. Venezia 22. Gudjohnsen A. Gent 7. Gudmundsson J. Al Orubah 17. Gunnarsson A. Al-Gharafa 8. Haraldsson H. Lille 20. Hlynsson K. Sparta Rotterdam 18. Magnusson J. Elfsborg 1. Olafsson E. R. (G) Midtjylland 4. Palsson V. Plymouth 13. Petersson L. (G) Hoffenheim 2. Tomasson L. Stromsgodset	21. Abdullahu L. 3. Aliti F. Alanyaspor 12. Bekaj V. (G) Hatayspor 19. Emerllahu L. CFR Cluj 2. Gallapeni D. Prishtina 22. Hoti A. Dresden 4. Krasniqi I. Kolos Kovalivka 1. Maloku F. (G) Drita 9. Rrahmani A. Sparta Prague 10. Sahiti E. Hamburger 11. Zabergja B. Dinamo Tirana 14. Zyba Q. Liberec
Coaches
Gunnlaugsson A.	Foda F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
2', 1 - 0, Oskarsson O. ⚽, Gudmundsson A. (A),
22', Fridriksson V. ↓, Bjarkason B. ↑,
35', 1 - 1, Muriqi V. ⚽, Paqarada L. (A),
39', Vojvoda M. 🟨,
45+3', 1 - 2, Muriqi V. ⚽, Rashica M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Johannesson I. ↓, Tomasson L. ↑,
46', Traustason A. I. ↓, Gunnarsson A. ↑,
48', Gunnarsson A. 🟨,
52', Muriqi V. 🟨,
55', Demaku V. ↓, Emerllahu L. ↑,
65', Willumsson W. T. ↓, Hlynsson K. ↑,
65', Oskarsson O. ↓, Gudjohnsen A. ↑,
69', Gunnarsson A. 🟨,
70', Gudmundsson A. 🟨,
72', Gudjohnsen A. 🟨,
75', Paqarada L. 🟨,
78', Rashica M. ↓, Sahiti E. ↑,
78', Krasniqi E. ↓, Krasniqi I. ↑,
79', 1 - 3, Muriqi V. ⚽, Emerllahu L. (A),
87', Muslija F. ↓, Gallapeni D. ↑,
87', Muriqi V. ↓, Rrahmani A. ↑,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-2. Neutral location.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Iceland won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:3 (average 1.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Iceland
UEFA Nations League
20.03.25	Kosovo - Iceland	2:1 ✺
19.11.24	Wales - Iceland	4:1 ✺
16.11.24	Montenegro - Iceland	0:2 ✺
14.10.24	Iceland - Turkey	2:4 ✺
11.10.24	Iceland - Wales	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLWLT
- Kosovo
UEFA Nations League
20.03.25	Kosovo - Iceland	2:1 ✺
18.11.24	Kosovo - Lithuania	1:0 ✺
15.11.24	Romania - Kosovo	Romania awarded ✺
15.10.24	Kosovo - Cyprus	3:0 ✺
12.10.24	Lithuania - Kosovo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WW?WW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Nations League
20.03.25	Kosovo - Iceland	2:1
FIFA World Cup
09.10.17	Iceland - Kosovo	2:0
24.03.17	Kosovo - Iceland	1:2

Iceland - Kosovo