Match Info

Date: 16 July 2022, Saturday


	Igilik		Akademiya Ontustik

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.6	1.71
	3.73	3.86	1.73
	3.5	3.3	1.91
	4.6	3.85	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.9 ↑ (3.22)	3.65 ↑ (3.36)	1.75 ↓ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Igilik
23.3%

Draw
24.8%

Akademiya Ontustik
51.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.3%

26.2%

46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

24.9%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Igilik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Akademiya Ontustik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Akademiya Ontustik's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Igilik than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Akademiya Ontustik than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	12.5%	62.5%

Igilik - Akademiya Ontustik Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Igilik will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Akademiya Ontustik will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Akademiya Ontustik: 29% – 96%.

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 12 and 11).

Igilik is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Akademiya Ontustik is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Akademiya Ontustik could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Akademiya Ontustik will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Igilik won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Igilik won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Igilik
Kazakh First League
09.07.22	Kyran - Igilik	7:2 ✺
02.07.22	Igilik - Zhetysu	0:3 ✺
25.06.22	Okzhetpes - Igilik	5:0 ✺
19.06.22	Igilik - Zhenis	2:0 ✺
28.05.22	Astana 2 - Igilik	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLLWL
- Akademiya Ontustik
Kazakh First League
02.07.22	Akademiya Ontustik - Zhenis	0:0 ✺
25.06.22	Baykonur Kyzylorda - Akademiya Ontustik	0:3 ✺
19.06.22	Akademiya Ontustik - Batyr Ekibastuz	1:2 ✺
12.06.22	Zhetysu - Akademiya Ontustik	2:3 ✺
28.05.22	Kairat 2 - Akademiya Ontustik	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh First League
28.08.21	Akademiya Ontustik - Igilik	7:0
10.05.21	Igilik - Akademiya Ontustik	0:1

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