Match Info

Date: 16 October 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Igilik		Kyran

	1	X	2
				Watch
	7.2	5	1.26
	9.47	4.21	1.37
	7.6	5.4	1.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.09 ↓ (9.4)	4.87 ↑ (4)	1.3 ↓ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Igilik
11.3%

Draw
18.7%

Kyran
70%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

9.6%

22.7%

67.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.3%

19.3%

57.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Igilik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Kyran has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

The ML Model estimate for Igilik aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kyran than the current prediction. (-12.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kyran, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Igilik - Kyran Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Igilik will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Kyran will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 5).

Igilik has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Kyran is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Kyran could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Kyran is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Igilik won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Igilik won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Igilik
Kazakh First League
09.10.22	Zhetysu - Igilik	1:0 ✺
04.10.22	Igilik - Kaisar	0:4 ✺
30.09.22	Igilik - Okzhetpes	0:5 ✺
16.09.22	Zhenis - Igilik	4:0 ✺
11.09.22	Igilik - Astana 2	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLT
- FK Kyran
Kazakh First League
09.10.22	Kyran - Okzhetpes	1:2 ✺
30.09.22	Astana 2 - Kyran	2:3 ✺
17.09.22	Kyran - Shakhtar-Bulat	1:1 ✺
11.09.22	Kaisar - Kyran	3:2 ✺
03.09.22	Kyran - Turkistan	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh First League
09.07.22	Kyran - Igilik	7:2
26.09.21	Igilik - Kyran	0:4
13.06.21	Kyran - Igilik	6:0
Kazakh Cup
24.03.19	Kyran - Igilik	3:1

Igilik - Kyran