Match Info

NPFL - Round 21

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Mobolaji Johnson Arena (Lagos)


	Ikorodu City		Kwara United

	1	X	2
	1.31	4.05	9.8
	1.31	4.27	11.09	Watch
	1.3	3.9	11
	1.31	4.05	11.1
	1.35	3.6	9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.41)	3.97 ↑ (3.78)	10.4 ↑ (8.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ikorodu City
68.6%

Draw
22.7%

Kwara United
8.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.2%

24.3%

10.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.7%

23.4%

10.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ikorodu City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Kwara United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ikorodu City than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kwara United than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Ikorodu City - Kwara United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Atata M. (G) 20. Arumala J. 11. Ayodeji A. 21. Christian J. 9. Ezekiel S. 6. Ikechukwu E. 33. Ogbonnaya J. 30. Onwe K. 16. Owolabi R. 10. Oyedokun T. 37. Udoh G.	33. Nurudeen B. (G) 14. Aimufua J. 3. Akanni A. 11. Aule J. 29. Ayodeji A. 32. Bankole A. 2. Bright B. 5. Gbadamosi J. 20. Gidado T. 23. Kabiru M. 26. Saheed O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Ezekiel S. ⚽,
17', 🟨,
26', Oyedokun T. ↓, Temitope F. ↑,
28', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ayodeji A. ↓, Ibifubara D. ↑,
46', Owolabi R. ↓, Adeoye A. ↑,
66', 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: ) and 14).

In recent matches, Ikorodu City has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Kwara is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Ikorodu City is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ikorodu City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Including home match between the teams, Ikorodu City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Kwara	7	3	1	3	9:7	2	10
9	Ikorodu City	7	2	3	2	8:7	1	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ikorodu City FC
Nigerian Premier League
28.12.25	Ikorodu City - Remo Stars	1:0 ✺
21.12.25	Enugu Rangers - Ikorodu City	2:1 ✺
15.12.25	Ikorodu City - Katsina United	0:0 ✺
30.11.25	Ikorodu City - Abia Warriors	1:0 ✺
24.11.25	Kano Pillars - Ikorodu City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WLTWL
- Kwara United
Nigerian Premier League
27.12.25	Bendel Insurance - Kwara United	2:0 ✺
14.12.25	Enyimba - Kwara United	3:1 ✺
07.12.25	Kwara United - Niger Tornadoes	2:0 ✺
30.11.25	Barau - Kwara United	3:2 ✺
23.11.25	Kwara United - Shooting Stars	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Nigerian Premier League
09.02.25	Ikorodu City - Kwara United	2:1

Ikorodu City - Kwara United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide