Match Info

NPFL - Round 8

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Ikorodu City		Kwara United

	1	X	2
	1.40	3.60	7.60
	1.36	4.21	7.70
	1.49	3.33	8.3	Watch
	1.37	3.60	7.00
	1.40	3.91	8.98
	1.42	3.75	7.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.53)	3.73 ↑ (3.59)	7.9 ↑ (6.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ikorodu City
64.3%

Draw
24.2%

Kwara United
11.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

59.6%

25.4%

15%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ikorodu City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Kwara United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Atata M. (G)
9. Adeoye A.
4. Adeshola A.
2. Akinwande O.
22. Freedom M.
13. Ganiyu F.
39. Ikechukwu E.
21. Peter K.
29. Salami F.
7. Tomiwa A.
27. Ujunwa E.
Substitutes
17. Abdulraman A.
40. Ayinde B.
10. Ayodeji A.
26. Azimi U.
8. Bada M.
18. Mse D.
15. Obiajulu D.
6. Torbira J.
24. Umar F. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Ujunwa E. ⚽,
31', Ganiyu F. ↓, Bada M. ↑,
31', Adeoye A. ↓, Mse D. ↑,
36', 2 - 0, Ikechukwu E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', 🟨,
72', 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 10th and 9th).

In recent outings, Ikorodu City has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Kwara could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, Ikorodu City enters as the overwhelming favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Ikorodu City has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:1 (averaging 1.5:0.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Ikorodu City against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:1 goals (averaging 1.5:0.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Ikorodu City	10	3	4	3	13:11	2	13
13	Kwara	10	3	3	4	11:11	0	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ikorodu City FC
Nigerian Premier League
04.10.26	Rivers United - Ikorodu City	2:0 ✺
30.09.26	Sporting Lagos - Ikorodu City	0:0 ✺
27.09.26	Ikorodu City - Enugu Rangers	2:0 ✺
23.09.26	Bendel Insurance - Ikorodu City	2:1
19.09.26	Ikorodu City - Barau	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LTWLT
- Kwara United
Nigerian Premier League
04.10.26	Kwara United - Ranchers Bees	2:1
27.09.26	Kun Khalifa - Kwara United	1:0 ✺
23.09.26	Kwara United - Nasarawa United	2:1
06.09.26	Plateau United - Kwara United	1:0 ✺
Nigerian Federation Cup
01.06.26	Kwara United - Sokoto United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Nigerian Premier League
18.01.26	Ikorodu City - Kwara United	1:0
09.02.25	Ikorodu City - Kwara United	2:1

Ikorodu City - Kwara United