Match Info

KYRGYZSTAN: PREMIER LIGA - ROUND 10

Date: 15 June 2023, Thursday


	Ilbirs Bishkek		Kara Balta

	1	X	2
	1.37	4.45	6.25
	1.28	5.15	9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (2.05)	4.8 ↑ (3.5)	7.63 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilbirs Bishkek
69%

Draw
19%

Kara Balta
12%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

26.3%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

25.7%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilbirs Bishkek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+24.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ilbirs Bishkek's performance.

Kara Balta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kara Balta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilbirs Bishkek than the current prediction. (-23%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ilbirs Bishkek that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kara Balta than the current prediction. (+16.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kara Balta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Ilbirs has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Kara Balta is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Kara Balta have a series of home games.

In this match Ilbirs is certain favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Ilbirs won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Ilbirs won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ilbirs Bishkek
Kyrgyzstan Premier Liga
11.06.23	Kara Balta - Ilbirs Bishkek	1:0 ✺
03.06.23	Ilbirs Bishkek - Alay Osh	1:1 ✺
31.05.23	Abdysh-Ata Kant - Ilbirs Bishkek	3:1 ✺
07.05.23	Ilbirs Bishkek - Abdysh-Ata Kant	0:3 ✺
17.04.23	Ilbirs Bishkek - Talant Bishkek	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LTLLL
- FK Kara Balta
Kyrgyzstan Premier Liga
11.06.23	Kara Balta - Ilbirs Bishkek	1:0 ✺
03.06.23	Kara Balta - Talant Bishkek	1:1 ✺
31.05.23	Kara Balta - Alay Osh	0:4 ✺
28.04.23	Kara Balta - Abdysh-Ata Kant	0:4 ✺
23.04.23	Dordoi Bishkek - Kara Balta	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Kyrgyzstan Premier Liga
11.06.23	Kara Balta - Ilbirs Bishkek	1:0
09.08.21	Kara Balta - Ilbirs Bishkek	1:1
05.06.21	Kara Balta - Ilbirs Bishkek	1:1
17.04.21	Ilbirs Bishkek - Kara Balta	4:1

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