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Current Win Probability
Ilioupolis 33.5%
Draw 29.4%
Egaleo 37%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45%
31%
24%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.4%
30.1%
23.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ilioupolis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ilioupolis's form might have worsened.
Egaleo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Egaleo's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilioupolis than the current prediction. (+12.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ilioupolis, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Egaleo than the current prediction. (-13.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Egaleo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ilioupolis - Egaleo Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, Tsilingiris G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', Bougaidis M. 🟨,
70', 0 - 2, Varkas G. ⚽,
79', 1 - 2, Miya F. ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Super League 2 (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Super League 2 (Relegation Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ilioupolis won 1.
Ilioupolis is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Egaleo has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Ilioupolis won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 0.9:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Ilioupolis won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.4:1.6).