Match Info

Super League 2 - Relegation Group - Round 4

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday


	Ilioupolis		PAE Chania

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.6	5.7
	1.52	3.86	5.9
	1.53	3.5	5.75
	1.48	3.7	6.42
	1.93	3.05	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.93)	3.54 ↑ (3.05)	5.54 ↑ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilioupolis
57.4%

Draw
26%

PAE Chania
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

29.8%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

28.7%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilioupolis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ilioupolis's performance.

PAE Chania has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and PAE Chania might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilioupolis than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ilioupolis that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PAE Chania than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that PAE Chania could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ilioupolis - PAE Chania Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+5', 0 - 1, Kapnidis A. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 8 in the zone Relegation and 9 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ilioupolis won 3.

Recent performances by Ilioupolis have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

PAE Chania has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ilioupolis will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Ilioupolis won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Ilioupolis won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GS Ilioupolis
Greek Super League 2
01.03.26	Ellas Syros - Ilioupolis	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Athens Kallithea - Ilioupolis	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Ilioupolis - Panargiakos	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Athens Kallithea - Ilioupolis	1:1 ✺
18.01.26	Ilioupolis - Olympiacos Piraeus B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 TLWTW
- PAE Chania
Greek Super League 2
01.03.26	PAE Chania - Egaleo	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Panargiakos - PAE Chania	0:1 ✺
15.02.26	PAE Chania - Ellas Syros	1:2 ✺
25.01.26	Panionios - PAE Chania	3:0 ✺
18.01.26	PAE Chania - Egaleo	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Greek Super League 2
11.01.26	PAE Chania - Ilioupolis	0:2
25.10.25	Ilioupolis - PAE Chania	0:2
26.01.25	PAE Chania - Ilioupolis	3:2
10.11.24	Ilioupolis - PAE Chania	1:0
08.04.24	Ilioupolis - PAE Chania	4:2
10.03.24	PAE Chania - Ilioupolis	3:1
10.12.23	Ilioupolis - PAE Chania	1:0

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