Match Info

Kategoria e Parë - Round 6

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Denmark	13:30	Viaplay
Norway	13:30	Viaplay
Sweden	13:30	Viaplay


	Iliria		Burreli

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.35	4.90	Watch
	2.01	2.74	4.24	Watch
	1.47	3.55	5.40
	1.72	3.51	4.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.71)	3.29 ↓ (3.31)	4.8 ↑ (4.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Iliria
53.4%

Draw
27.7%

Burreli
19%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.7%

27.1%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

26.7%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Iliria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Burreli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iliria than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burreli than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Diarrassouba A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8th and 9th in the Kategoria e Paru00eb (Relegation)).

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Bookmakers give the edge to Iliria for this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Iliria has recorded 0 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:3 (averaging 1:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Iliria against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 2:2 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Iliria Fushe-Kruje	7	3	3	1	7:5	2	12
11	Burreli	7	1	3	3	6:9	-3	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KS Iliria
Albanian First Division
11.10.26	Besa Kavajë - Iliria	2:0 ✺
20.09.26	Iliria - Bylis Ballsh	1:1 ✺
16.09.26	Korabi Peshkopi - Iliria	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Iliria - Kukësi	3:1 ✺
05.09.26	Iliria - Pogradeci	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LTTWT
- KS Burreli
Albanian First Division
11.10.26	Burreli - Besëlidhja Lezhë	0:0 ✺
20.09.26	Oriku - Burreli	0:1 ✺
16.09.26	Burreli - Sopoti Librazhd	1:3 ✺
11.09.26	Flamurtari Vlorë - Burreli	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Burreli - Kastrioti	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Albanian First Division
07.03.26	Burreli - Iliria	0:0
08.02.26	Burreli - Iliria	1:1
03.11.25	Iliria - Burreli	2:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KS Iliria
Albanian First Division
29.10.26	Iliria - Flamurtari Vlorë	✺
- KS Burreli
Albanian First Division
28.10.26	Korabi Peshkopi - Burreli	✺

Iliria - Burreli