Match Info

2. SNL - Round 24

Date: 17 April 2026, Friday


	Ilirija Ljubljana		Bistrica

	1	X	2
	2.22	3.25	2.82
	2.23	3.48	2.73
	2.29	3.65	2.79	Watch
	2.2	3.2	2.8
	2.26	3.42	2.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.28)	3.4 ↑ (3.33)	2.77 ↑ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ilirija Ljubljana
40.5%

Draw
26.7%

Bistrica
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

27.3%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

26.4%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilirija Ljubljana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Bistrica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilirija Ljubljana than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bistrica than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Ilirija Ljubljana - Bistrica Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
39', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
48', 1 - 1, ⚽,
67', 2 - 1, ⚽,
85', 🟥,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ilirija won 0.

Ilirija has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Bistrica has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Bistrica may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Ilirija won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:13. (average 0.7:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Ilirija won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Ilirija	9	4	1	4	15:10	5	13
10	NK Bistrica	9	4	1	4	12:14	-2	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ilirija Ljubljana
Slovenian 2 SNL
11.04.26	Rudar Velenje - Ilirija Ljubljana	0:0 ✺
08.04.26	Slovan Ljubljana - Ilirija Ljubljana	2:1 ✺
03.04.26	Ilirija Ljubljana - Tabor Sežana	2:3 ✺
20.03.26	Ilirija Ljubljana - Jadran Dekani	2:2 ✺
14.03.26	Triglav - Ilirija Ljubljana	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 TLLTT
- NK Bistrica
Slovenian 2 SNL
12.04.26	Bistrica - Tabor Sežana	2:1 ✺
03.04.26	Jadran Dekani - Bistrica	1:0 ✺
29.03.26	Bistrica - Jesenice	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Krško - Bistrica	2:2 ✺
14.03.26	Bistrica - Gorica	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian 2 SNL
04.10.25	Bistrica - Ilirija Ljubljana	2:2
02.03.25	Ilirija Ljubljana - Bistrica	0:0
17.08.24	Bistrica - Ilirija Ljubljana	2:2
23.03.24	Ilirija Ljubljana - Bistrica	0:2
08.09.23	Bistrica - Ilirija Ljubljana	1:0
25.03.23	Bistrica - Ilirija Ljubljana	4:0
10.09.22	Ilirija Ljubljana - Bistrica	1:2

Ilirija Ljubljana - Bistrica: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide