Match Info

GREECE: Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 - Round 29

Date: 23 March 2025, Sunday


	Ilisiakos		Thiva

	1	X	2
	1.56	3.35	6.2
	1.59	3.25	6.11
	1.56	3.35	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.6)	3.32 ↑ (3.3)	6.17 ↑ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilisiakos
57.9%

Draw
27.4%

Thiva
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

27.7%

15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

23.3%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilisiakos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Thiva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilisiakos than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ilisiakos that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thiva than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Ilisiakos - Thiva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
2nd Half (1 - 1)

Preview

Ilisiakos is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Thiva has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ilisiakos could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ilisiakos is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ilisiakos FC
Greek Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
16.03.25	Haidari - Ilisiakos	2:1 ✺
09.03.25	Ilisiakos - Aris Petroupolis	1:2 ✺
01.03.25	Asteras Kaisarianis - Ilisiakos	2:0 ✺
23.02.25	Ilisiakos - Atsalenios	2:3 ✺
16.02.25	Rethymniakos - Ilisiakos	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLLW
- Thiva FC
Greek Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
01.03.25	Aris Petroupolis - Thiva	2:1 ✺
23.02.25	Thiva - Asteras Kaisarianis	1:2 ✺
16.02.25	Atsalenios - Thiva	2:1 ✺
12.02.25	Thiva - Rethymniakos	0:1 ✺
08.02.25	Tympakiou - Thiva	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLT

Ilisiakos - Thiva: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide