Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 17 - ROUND 10

Date: 11 November 2023, Saturday


	Illueca		Caspe

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.9	2.65
	2.5	2.94	2.7
	2.5	2.94	2.7
	2.47	3.02	2.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↓ (2.78)	2.95 ↓ (3.1)	2.7 ↑ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Illueca
36.2%

Draw
30.4%

Caspe
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

29.3%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

29.7%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Illueca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Caspe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Illueca than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caspe than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Illueca - Caspe Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 6).

Recent matches Illueca is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Caspe is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Illueca won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Illueca won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Illueca
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
04.11.23	Belchite - Illueca	1:1 ✺
28.10.23	Illueca - Fraga	1:2 ✺
21.10.23	Ebro - Illueca	1:0 ✺
15.10.23	Illueca - Tamarite	5:3 ✺
08.10.23	Almudévar - Illueca	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TLLWW
- CD Caspe
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
05.11.23	Caspe - Ejea	2:2 ✺
29.10.23	Cariñena - Caspe	0:1 ✺
22.10.23	Caspe - Cuarte	1:1 ✺
15.10.23	Binéfar - Caspe	0:0 ✺
07.10.23	Caspe - Borja	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
12.02.23	Illueca - Caspe	0:2
15.10.22	Caspe - Illueca	0:2
02.04.22	Illueca - Caspe	2:1
28.11.21	Caspe - Illueca	3:1
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
08.04.18	Illueca - Caspe	5:1

Illueca - Caspe: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide