Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 17 - ROUND 15

Date: 17 December 2022, Saturday


	Illueca		Épila

	1	X	2
	2.05	3	3.3
	2.03	2.85	3.5
	2.05	2.86	3.64
	2.01	3.1	3.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.28)	2.95 ↓ (3.05)	3.51 ↑ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Illueca
44.1%

Draw
30.4%

Épila
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

29.1%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

28.6%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Illueca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Illueca's performance.

Épila has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Épila might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Illueca than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Épila than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Épila could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 17 (Play Offs) and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Illueca in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Épila is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Illueca won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Illueca won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Illueca
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
11.12.22	La Almunia - Illueca	0:0 ✺
04.12.22	Illueca - Utrillas	1:0 ✺
27.11.22	Cuarte - Illueca	0:1 ✺
20.11.22	Illueca - Barbastro	2:1 ✺
09.11.22	Binéfar - Illueca	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TWWWW
- AD Épila CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
11.12.22	Épila - Atlético Monzón	0:0 ✺
04.12.22	Tamarite - Épila	2:2 ✺
27.11.22	Épila - Almudévar	2:0 ✺
20.11.22	Calamocha - Épila	1:1 ✺
11.11.22	La Almunia - Épila	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
20.03.22	Illueca - Épila	1:0
14.11.21	Épila - Illueca	0:1

Illueca - Épila: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide