The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ilves 2 28.3%
Draw 22.2%
Honka 49.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.4%
25.1%
42.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32%
24.8%
43%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ilves 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
Honka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Honka's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilves 2 than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Honka than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Honka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ilves 2 - Honka Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
43. Husu N. (G) 36. Aho R. 45. Coulibaly H. 84. Kouakou F. 39. Laaksonen M. 95. Lehtomaki V. 73. Rasanen A. (C) 42. Sacko Y. 35. Suvanne S. 74. Syrjanen S. 34. Valkealahti V.
12. Viljala V. (G) 17. Ahokas B. 3. Aijala E. 14. Chukwu N. 46. Haruna B. 11. Heikkinen B. 13. Huttunen O. 22. Jannes A. 9. Mahmood M. 29. Paraiso A. 6. Pyyskanen R. (C)
Substitutes
90. Ala-Nikkola N. 38. Halonen R. 26. Kyllonen N. 97. Ljungqvist A. (G) 99. Rautavirta R. 51. Riissanen J. 75. Sinkkila A. 44. Toivonen J. 37. Veijonen E.
20. Al Wehliye K. 2. Hamalainen J. 18. Karppinen V. 30. King S. (G) 23. Liikonen K. 25. Ritala A. 26. Sory M. 15. Sundman J. 28. Umeh C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Coulibaly H. ⚽,
32', Chukwu N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Sacko Y. ↓, Halonen R. ↑,
46', Chukwu N. ↓, Hamalainen J. ↑,
51', 2 - 0, Halonen R. ⚽,
62', Coulibaly H. ↓, Rautavirta R. ↑,
62', Kouakou F. ↓, Riissanen J. ↑,
62', Suvanne S. ↓, Ala-Nikkola N. ↑,
65', Jannes A. ↓, Liikonen K. ↑,
65', Heikkinen B. ↓, Sory M. ↑,
65', Haruna B. ↓, Umeh C. ↑,
74', Sory M. 🟨,
75', Huttunen O. 🟨,
81', Mahmood M. ↓, Al Wehliye K. ↑,
84', Aho R. ↓, Kyllonen N. ↑,
88', Husu N. 🟨,
88', (Penalty Awarded),
90+4', Valkealahti V. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ilves 2 won 2.
Ilves 2 has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Honka is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Honka will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Ilves 2 won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:11. (average 2.5:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Ilves 2 won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 2.7:1.3).