Match Info

Steiermark - Round 28

Date: 21 May 2026, Thursday


	Ilzer		Union Gnas

	1	X	2
	1.56	4.2	4.1
	1.62	4.21	4.21	Watch
	1.53	4	4.2
	1.51	4.25	4.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.8)	4.17 ↑ (4)	4.36 ↑ (3.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilzer
57.8%

Draw
21.6%

Union Gnas
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

23%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

22.3%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilzer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ilzer's performance.

Union Gnas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Union Gnas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilzer than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ilzer that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Gnas than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Ilzer - Union Gnas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Ilzer may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ilzer is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ilzer won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:0. (average 3:0).

Including home match between the teams, Ilzer won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ilzer SV	9	6	2	1	24:13	11	20
5	SV Union Gnas	9	5	1	3	17:8	9	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ilzer SV
Austrian Landesliga Steiermark
09.05.26	Ilzer - Bad Waltersdorf	3:3 ✺
05.05.26	Weinland Gamlitz - Ilzer	0:2 ✺
01.05.26	Ilzer - Fürstenfeld	1:6 ✺
24.04.26	Tillmitsch - Ilzer	4:2 ✺
17.04.26	Ilzer - Lebring	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TWLLW
- SV Union Gnas
Austrian Landesliga Steiermark
15.05.26	Union Gnas - Bad Waltersdorf	2:1 ✺
08.05.26	Fürstenfeld - Union Gnas	1:0 ✺
05.05.26	Union Gnas - Lebring	2:0 ✺
24.04.26	Union Gnas - Allerheiligen	1:5 ✺
17.04.26	Hohenhaus Schladming - Union Gnas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Landesliga Steiermark
24.10.25	Union Gnas - Ilzer	0:4
26.04.24	Ilzer - Union Gnas	2:0

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