Match Info
Serie D - Group A - Round 6Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Imperia |
|
Ligorna |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
3.25 |
3.55 |
1.92 |
|
 |
3.22 |
3.48 |
2 |
|
 |
3.25 |
3.5 |
1.99 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.24 ↓
(4.8) |
3.51 ↑
(3.5) |
1.97 ↑
(1.6) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
- The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Imperia
28% | Draw
25.9% | Ligorna
46.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Imperia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Imperia's performance.Ligorna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ligorna might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Imperia than the current prediction. (-10%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Imperia that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ligorna than the current prediction. (+11.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ligorna could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Imperia - Ligorna Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ligorna (votes: 2 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 6', 1 - 0, Busato G. ⚽,
- 9', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 90+3', 1 - 2, ⚽,
- 90+9', 2 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs: )).Imperia is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).Ligorna is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).Imperia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Ligorna might have a minor edge in this game.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Imperia won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).Including home match between the teams, Imperia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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