The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Independiente 2 59.9%
Draw 22.7%
Platense 2 17.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.3%
27.2%
21.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57.4%
24.3%
19.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente 2's performance.
Platense 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente 2 than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Platense 2 than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Independiente 2 - Platense 2 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', 0 - 1, ⚽,
62', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 18).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente 2 won 4.
Independiente 2 is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Platense 2 is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, Independiente 2 is the team to beat.
We predict that Independiente 2 will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Independiente 2 won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:6. (average 1.9:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Independiente 2 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Platense 2 - the odds 4.1 are the expected chance of winning is 21.53%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.