Match Info

ARGENTINA: Reserve League - Apertura - Round 5

Date: 21 March 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play
South-america	ESPN 2 South
Usa	Fanatiz
World	Disney+


	Independiente 2		Vélez Sársfield 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.45	3.25	2	Watch
	3.36	3.33	2.04	Watch
	3.4	3.1	2.05
	3.24	3.55	2.09
	3.45	3.25	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.38 ↓ (3.69)	3.3 ↑ (3.03)	2.04 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente 2
27.1%

Draw
27.8%

Vélez Sársfield 2
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.6%

30%

45.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Vélez Sársfield 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Independiente 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
9', 1 - 0, Medina A. ⚽,
23', 1 - 1, Cabral R. (Pen),
45', 1 - 2, Godoy D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Independiente 2 won 1.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Independiente 2 won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3:7 (average 0.5:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Independiente 2 won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Independiente 2
Argentinian Reserve League
13.03.25	River Plate 2 - Independiente 2	2:1 ✺
05.03.25	Independiente 2 - Gimnasia La Plata 2	3:3 ✺
25.02.25	Talleres de Córdoba 2 - Independiente 2	1:0 ✺
18.02.25	Independiente 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	0:0 ✺
27.11.24	Newells Old Boys 2 - Independiente 2	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LTLTL
- Vélez Sársfield 2
Argentinian Reserve League
13.03.25	Vélez Sársfield 2 - San Lorenzo 2	2:1 ✺
06.03.25	Instituto 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	0:1 ✺
27.02.25	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Platense 2	2:2 ✺
20.02.25	Tigre 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	1:0 ✺
17.12.24	River Plate 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
08.06.24	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Independiente 2	1:0
12.12.23	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Independiente 2	1:0
22.08.23	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Independiente 2	4:1
11.02.23	Independiente 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	1:1
26.08.22	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Independiente 2	0:1
20.02.22	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Independiente 2	0:0

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