Match Info

ARGENTINA: Reserve League - Second stage - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 27 November 2024, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play, TNT Sports
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Newells Old Boys 2		Independiente 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.98	2.75	3.9
	2.03	2.85	3.9
	2.04	2.83	4.42
	1.99	2.82	4.34
	1.95	2.88	4
	1.99	2.77	4.25
	2.03	2.85	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.89)	2.82 ↓ (3.07)	4.1 ↓ (4.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newells Old Boys 2
45.5%

Draw
32.3%

Independiente 2
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

29.8%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

27.8%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newells Old Boys 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Independiente 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newells Old Boys 2 than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Newells Old Boys 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente 2 than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Newells Old Boys 2 - Independiente 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, Acuna V. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
54', 2 - 0, Chiaverano G. ⚽,
86', 3 - 0, Chiaverano G. ⚽,
90+1', 4 - 0, Benedetto B. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newells Old Boys 2
Argentinian Reserve League
15.11.24	Newells Old Boys 2 - Belgrano 2	2:1 ✺
29.10.24	Boca Juniors 2 - Newells Old Boys 2	3:0 ✺
23.10.24	Newells Old Boys 2 - Huracán Buenos Aires 2	3:2 ✺
16.10.24	Independiente 2 - Newells Old Boys 2	1:1 ✺
10.10.24	Newells Old Boys 2 - Tigre 2	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLWTT
- CA Independiente 2
Argentinian Reserve League
16.11.24	Gimnasia La Plata 2 - Independiente 2	0:1 penalties ✺
29.10.24	Independiente 2 - Tigre 2	2:0 ✺
23.10.24	Estudiantes La Plata 2 - Independiente 2	4:1 ✺
16.10.24	Independiente 2 - Newells Old Boys 2	1:1 ✺
09.10.24	Talleres de Córdoba 2 - Independiente 2	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
16.10.24	Independiente 2 - Newells Old Boys 2	1:1
14.05.24	Newells Old Boys 2 - Independiente 2	0:3
10.07.23	Newells Old Boys 2 - Independiente 2	1:0
22.09.22	Newells Old Boys 2 - Independiente 2	2:1

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