Match Info

Division Intermedia - Round 8

Date: 19 May 2026, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Paraguay	Tigo Sports+


	Independiente Asuncion		Deportivo Santaní

	1	X	2
	2.38	2.92	2.88
	2.36	2.96	2.88
	2.46	3.01	3.02	Watch
	2.4	2.75	2.9
	2.4	2.88	2.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (1.93)	2.9 ↓ (3.31)	2.93 ↓ (3.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Asuncion
37.8%

Draw
31.2%

Deportivo Santaní
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.1%

28%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

27.7%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Independiente Asuncion's form might have worsened.

Deportivo Santaní has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Santaní's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Asuncion than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente Asuncion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Santaní than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Santaní, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	16.7%	66.7%

Independiente Asuncion - Deportivo Santaní Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Independiente FBC will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Deportivo Santaní will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportivo Santaní (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, Gonzalez M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
88', 0 - 2, Vera H. ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente FBC won 1.

Independiente FBC has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Deportivo Santaní has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Independiente FBC is seen as the favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Independiente FBC won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Independiente FBC won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Deportivo Santani	27	17	3	7	46:25	21	54
6	Independiente FBC	27	10	10	7	40:35	5	40

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Asuncion
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
14.05.26	Fernando de la Mora - Independiente Asuncion	1:1 ✺
09.05.26	Independiente Asuncion - 3 de Noviembre	2:0 ✺
03.05.26	General Caballero JLM - Independiente Asuncion	4:2 ✺
26.04.26	Independiente Asuncion - Guaireña	2:0 ✺
17.04.26	Resistencia - Independiente Asuncion	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TWLWT
- Deportivo Santaní
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
15.05.26	Deportivo Santaní - Tacuary	0:0 ✺
11.05.26	Atlético Tembetary - Deportivo Santaní	1:1 ✺
04.05.26	Deportivo Santaní - Benjamín Aceval	0:2 ✺
27.04.26	Sportivo Carapeguá - Deportivo Santaní	1:0 ✺
20.04.26	Deportivo Santaní - 12 de Junio	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Division Intermedia
24.08.25	Independiente Asuncion - Deportivo Santaní	1:1
20.05.25	Deportivo Santaní - Independiente Asuncion	2:1
25.08.24	Deportivo Santaní - Independiente Asuncion	1:0
20.05.24	Independiente Asuncion - Deportivo Santaní	1:0
28.07.23	Independiente Asuncion - Deportivo Santaní	2:2
24.04.23	Deportivo Santaní - Independiente Asuncion	1:0
18.07.22	Deportivo Santaní - Independiente Asuncion	0:1

Independiente Asuncion - Deportivo Santaní: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide