Match Info

Copa Simon Bolivar - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Independiente CBBA		Unión Central

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.00	4.33
	1.57	3.75	4.60
	1.62	3.45	5.6
	1.63	4.13	4.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.9)	3.83 ↑ (3.7)	4.75 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Independiente CBBA
57%

Draw
23.8%

Unión Central
19.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47%

24.1%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

23.4%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente CBBA has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente CBBA's performance.

Unión Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Unión Central might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente CBBA than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Independiente CBBA that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Central than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Unión Central could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Independiente CBBA - Unión Central Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)

Preview

First leg result: 0-1.

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Recently, Unión Central has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

Bookmakers give the edge to Independiente CBBA for this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Independiente CBBA has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente CBBA
Bolivian Copa Simon Bolivar
11.10.26	Unión Central - Independiente CBBA	1:0 ✺
20.09.26	Independiente CBBA - Wilstermann Cooperativas	3:2 ✺
13.09.26	Mineros Potosí - Independiente CBBA	4:1 ✺
05.09.26	Wilstermann Cooperativas - Independiente CBBA	0:1 ✺
30.08.26	Independiente CBBA - Mineros Potosí	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWLWW
- Club Unión Central
Bolivian Copa Simon Bolivar
11.10.26	Unión Central - Independiente CBBA	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Unión Central - Primero de Mayo	4:0 ✺
05.09.26	Unión Central - Ciudad Nueva	0:1 ✺
30.08.26	Primero de Mayo - Unión Central	3:1 ✺
22.08.26	Unión Central - Guadalajara Qaqachaca	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Copa Simon Bolivar
11.10.26	Unión Central - Independiente CBBA	1:0

Independiente CBBA - Unión Central