Match Info

FIFA ASEAN Cup - Division 1 - Play Offs - Final

Date: 5 October 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Gelora Bung Karno Stadium (Jakarta) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Denmark	15:00	DAZN
Finland	16:00	DAZN
Sweden	15:00	DAZN
United Kingdom	14:00	DAZN


	Indonesia		Thailand

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.20	3.70
	1.95	3.30	3.35
	1.85	3.46	4.36
	1.99	3.45	3.62	Watch
	1.82	3.35	4.30
	1.88	3.28	4.30	Watch
	1.91	3.25	3.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2)	3.33 ↓ (3.4)	3.9 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Indonesia
48.6%

Draw
27.7%

Thailand
23.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.3%

26.1%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Indonesia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Thailand has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Thailand might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	12.5%	25%

Indonesia - Thailand Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Indonesia will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Thailand will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Indonesia: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Thailand (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Thailand (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Thailand (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Audero E. (G) Rayo Vallecano 2. Diks K. (C) B. Monchengladbach 20. Baggott E. Millwall 23. Hubner J. Sittard 8. Vickery L. Macarthur FC 14. Pelupessy J. Lommel SK 11. Oratmangoen R. Persib Bandung 17. Verdonk C. Lille 10. Romeny O. Sittard 19. Haye T. Persib Bandung 9. Lee Baker M. Georgetown	20. Anuin S. (G) Pathum United 21. Bureerat S. Port MTI FC 4. Bihr M. Port MTI FC 2. Sayriya N. Chonburi 12. Mickelson N. Elversberg 9. Jaided S. Buriram United F.C. 7. Khamyok K. Bangkok Utd 6. Yooyen S. Pathum United 15. Kaman K. Pathum United 18. Songkrasin C. (C) Pathum United 14. Poeiphimai T. Port MTI FC
Substitutes
4. Amat J. Persija Jakarta 13. Argawinata N. (G) Persija Jakarta 15. Hannan R. Persija Jakarta 21. James D. G.A. Eagles 18. Jenner I. Dewa United 3. Markx D. Persita 12. Paes M. (G) Ajax 16. Pattynama S. Persija Jakarta 6. Pratama R. PSM Makassar 5. Ridho R. Persija Jakarta 22. Tjoe a On N. Willem II 7. Vikri E. Dewa United	5. Akkratum P. Port MTI FC 8. Chamratsamee P. Port MTI FC 13. Choolthong W. Pathum United 1. Khammai P. (G) Bangkok Utd 3. Otton C. Port MTI FC 23. Pathomakkakul K. (G) Ratchaburi 19. Puethong T. Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 22. Ratree S. Port MTI FC 16. Sanron I. Buriram United F.C. 10. Sarachat S. Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 17. Soonsup-Bell J. Port MTI FC 11. Yodsangwal A. Buriram United F.C.
Coaches
Herdman J.	Hudson A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Hubner J. 🟨,
40', Jaided S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Haye T. ↓, James D. ↑,
53', Bureerat S. ↓, Choolthong W. ↑,
60', Vickery L. ↓, Ridho R. ↑,
63', Songkrasin C. ↓, Ratree S. ↑,
63', Poeiphimai T. ↓, Soonsup-Bell J. ↑,
65', Oratmangoen R. ↓, Jenner I. ↑,
66', Sayriya N. 🟨,
72', Choolthong W. 🟨,
76', Mickelson N. 🟨,
79', Jaided S. ↓, Yodsangwal A. ↑,
79', Khamyok K. ↓, Sanron I. ↑,
81', Mickelson N. 🟨,
84', 1 - 0, James D. ⚽,
87', 1 - 1, Sanron I. ⚽, Ratree S. (A),
Extra Time (1 - 1)
91', Kaman K. ↓, Chamratsamee P. ↑,
101', Hubner J. ↓, Pattynama S. ↑,
101', Verdonk C. ↓, Vikri E. ↑,
109', Ridho R. 🟨,
111', 1 - 2, Chamratsamee P. ⚽,
112', James D. 🟨,
116', 2 - 2, Baggott E. ⚽,
Penalties (4 - 2)
1, Diks K. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Bihr M. (Penalty Awarded),
2, James D. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Choolthong W. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Baggott E. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Yooyen S. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Pattynama S. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Sayriya N. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Indonesia is ranked FIFA: 118., and Thailand is ranked FIFA: 94..

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Indonesia won 0.

Thailand has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Thailand may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Indonesia holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Indonesia has recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:23 (averaging 1.2:2.6 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Indonesia
FIFA ASEAN Cup
01.10.26	Indonesia - Bangladesh	9:2 ✺
28.09.26	Malaysia - Indonesia	0:0 ✺
25.09.26	Indonesia - Singapore	2:0 ✺
ASEAN Championship
07.08.26	Singapore - Indonesia	1:1 ✺
03.08.26	Indonesia - Vietnam	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WTWTL
- Thailand
FIFA ASEAN Cup
02.10.26	Thailand - Philippines	1:2 ✺
29.09.26	Thailand - Vietnam	2:0 ✺
26.09.26	Pakistan - Thailand	0:4 ✺
ASEAN Championship
26.08.26	Vietnam - Thailand	2:2 ✺
22.08.26	Thailand - Vietnam	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

ASEAN Championship
29.12.22	Indonesia - Thailand	1:1
01.01.22	Thailand - Indonesia	2:2
29.12.21	Indonesia - Thailand	0:4
FIFA World Cup
03.06.21	Thailand - Indonesia	2:2
10.09.19	Indonesia - Thailand	0:3
ASEAN Championship
17.11.18	Thailand - Indonesia	4:2
17.12.16	Thailand - Indonesia	2:0

Indonesia - Thailand