The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ingolstadt 58.1%
Draw 21.7%
Gütersloh 20.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
58.2%
21.6%
20.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.3%
20.5%
19.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ingolstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
The chances for Gütersloh have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ingolstadt than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gütersloh than the current prediction. (-1%)
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Daum A. (C) 6. Bogenschutz K. 7. Burkard N. 10. Ebert L. 9. Kusch E. 21. Reininger P. 8. Slipcevic I. 15. Timmermann I. 11. Vidovic P. 2. Winter M. 5. Wolski L.
12. Krumme J. (G) 15. Bultmann L. 31. Kappmeier F. 10. Kilic G. 19. Leubner R. 6. Pagel D. 29. Schmidt N. 24. Stojan L. (C) 23. Tellenbroker M. 27. Weber P. 8. Wisniewski L.
Substitutes
19. Fritz A. 4. Hartl A. 17. Hein L. 1. Maier F. (G) 29. Penzkofer N. 14. Strobel M.
17. Aradini S. 16. Gartner J. 11. Krohne H. 25. Preuss L. 1. Rolle S. (G) 42. Tappe C. 28. Zitzer O.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Stojan L. ⚽,
26', 1 - 1, Kusch E. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
51', 2 - 1, Penzkofer N. ⚽,
52', Vidovic P. ↓, Penzkofer N. ↑,
58', 3 - 1, Reininger P. ⚽,
72', Burkard N. ↓, Strobel M. ↑,
72', Reininger P. ↓, Hein L. ↑,
81', Kappmeier F. ↓, Krohne H. ↑,
81', Leubner R. ↓, Zitzer O. ↑,
85', Timmermann I. ↓, Fritz A. ↑,
85', Winter M. ↓, Hartl A. ↑,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 14 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ingolstadt won 3.
Ingolstadt has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Gütersloh is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Ingolstadt may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Ingolstadt is a strong favorite.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Ingolstadt won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:13. (average 2.7:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Ingolstadt won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 2:3.3).