Match Info

GERMANY: OBERLIGA BAYERN SÜD - ROUND 31

Date: 5 May 2023, Friday


	Ingolstadt II		Memmingen

	1	X	2
	2.49	3.62	2.46
	2.51	3.55	2.46
	2.6	3.4	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.02)	3.52 ↓ (4)	2.44 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ingolstadt II
36.3%

Draw
26.1%

Memmingen
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

22.7%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

22.6%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ingolstadt II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ingolstadt II's form might have worsened.

Memmingen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Memmingen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ingolstadt II than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ingolstadt II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Memmingen than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Memmingen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Regionalliga Bayern (Relegation: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ingolstadt II won 1.

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Memmingen will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Ingolstadt II won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 17-24.

Including matches at home between the teams Ingolstadt II won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ingolstadt II
German Oberliga Bayern Süd
28.04.23	Hallbergmoos-Goldach - Ingolstadt II	1:1 ✺
21.04.23	1860 Rosenheim - Ingolstadt II	0:5 ✺
15.04.23	Ingolstadt II - Ismaning	2:0 ✺
06.04.23	Erlbach - Ingolstadt II	1:1 ✺
01.04.23	Ingolstadt II - Kirchanschöring	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TWWTT
- FC Memmingen
German Oberliga Bayern Süd
28.04.23	Memmingen - Ismaning	0:1 ✺
21.04.23	Erlbach - Memmingen	0:0 ✺
14.04.23	Memmingen - Kirchanschöring	3:0 ✺
08.04.23	Garching - Memmingen	0:2 ✺
01.04.23	Memmingen - Deisenhofen	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Bayern Süd
11.10.22	Memmingen - Ingolstadt II	0:0
German Regionalliga Bayern
27.04.19	Ingolstadt II - Memmingen	0:0
05.10.18	Memmingen - Ingolstadt II	1:1
25.11.17	Memmingen - Ingolstadt II	4:3
28.07.17	Ingolstadt II - Memmingen	2:1
19.11.16	Memmingen - Ingolstadt II	3:0
02.08.16	Ingolstadt II - Memmingen	1:5

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