Match Info

GERMANY: Junioren Bundesliga South - Round 22

Date: 12 April 2024, Friday


	Ingolstadt U19		Nurnberg U19

	1	X	2
	1.58	4	4.2
	1.65	4.68	4
	1.65	4.68	3.87
	1.53	4.2	4.2
	1.62	4.26	4.35
	1.61	4.1	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.41)	4.32 ↓ (4.71)	4.15 ↓ (5.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ingolstadt U19
56.9%

Draw
21.1%

Nurnberg U19
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65%

19.4%

15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.1%

18%

14.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ingolstadt U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ingolstadt U19's form might have worsened.

Nurnberg U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nurnberg U19's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ingolstadt U19 than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ingolstadt U19, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nurnberg U19 than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nurnberg U19, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ingolstadt U19 - Nurnberg U19 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
61', 0 - 1, ⚽,
63', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ingolstadt U19
German Junioren Bundesliga South
06.04.24	Hoffenheim U19 - Ingolstadt U19	1:2 ✺
09.03.24	Ingolstadt U19 - Heidenheim U19	2:0 ✺
02.03.24	Stuttgart U19 - Ingolstadt U19	1:2 ✺
24.02.24	Ingolstadt U19 - 1860 München U19	1:2 ✺
17.02.24	Eintracht Frankfurt U19 - Ingolstadt U19	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.3 WWWLT
- Nurnberg U19
German Junioren Bundesliga South
06.04.24	Nurnberg U19 - Kaiserslautern U19	2:0 ✺
08.03.24	Bayern U19 - Nurnberg U19	4:1 ✺
03.03.24	Hoffenheim U19 - Nurnberg U19	4:0 ✺
24.02.24	Nurnberg U19 - Karlsruher U19	0:1 ✺
17.02.24	Stuttgart U19 - Nurnberg U19	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

German Junioren Bundesliga South
28.10.23	Nurnberg U19 - Ingolstadt U19	3:5
German Junioren Bundesliga Play Offs
26.03.23	Nurnberg U19 - Ingolstadt U19	3:1
German Junioren Bundesliga South
21.08.22	Nurnberg U19 - Ingolstadt U19	4:2
19.09.20	Ingolstadt U19 - Nurnberg U19	1:1
09.03.19	Ingolstadt U19 - Nurnberg U19	1:0
29.09.18	Nurnberg U19 - Ingolstadt U19	0:1
23.04.17	Nurnberg U19 - Ingolstadt U19	1:1

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