Match Info

UKRAINE: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 28

Date: 25 May 2023, Thursday

Location: Stadion Inhulets (Petrove)

Referee: Romanov V. (Ukr)


	Inhulets		Kharkiv

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.5	5
	1.8	3.35	4.1
	1.73	3.38	5.76
	1.7	3.3	4.75
	1.68	3.5	5.6	Watch
	1.71	3.5	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (2.32)	3.42 ↑ (3.3)	5 ↑ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Inhulets
54.1%

Draw
27.2%

Kharkiv
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

28.9%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

28.3%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inhulets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Inhulets's performance.

Kharkiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kharkiv might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inhulets than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Inhulets that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kharkiv than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kharkiv could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45%	30%	25%

Inhulets - Kharkiv Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Inhulets will win (votes: 9 - 45%). Kharkiv will win (votes: 5 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Inhulets: 23.2% – 66.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Inhulets has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Metalist 1925 is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Inhulets is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Inhulets won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Inhulets won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Inhulets Petrovo
Ukrainian Premier League
20.05.23	Zorya Luhansk - Inhulets	2:0 ✺
13.05.23	Inhulets - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:2 ✺
08.05.23	Rukh Lviv - Inhulets	3:0 ✺
04.05.23	Inhulets - Kryvbas	0:0 ✺
29.04.23	Inhulets - Dnipro-1	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLTL
- FC Kharkiv
Ukrainian Premier League
21.05.23	Kharkiv - Metalist Kharkiv	2:0 ✺
14.05.23	Veres Rivne - Kharkiv	1:0 ✺
08.05.23	Zorya Luhansk - Kharkiv	3:0 ✺
04.05.23	Kharkiv - Rukh Lviv	0:0 ✺
29.04.23	Mynai - Kharkiv	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
13.11.22	Kharkiv - Inhulets	2:1
22.10.21	Kharkiv - Inhulets	4:0
Ukrainian Cup
27.08.19	Inhulets - Kharkiv	2:0
Ukrainian Persha Liga
27.07.19	Kharkiv - Inhulets	1:0
08.09.18	Inhulets - Kharkiv	1:0

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