Match Info

UKRAINE: Premier League - Round 17

Date: 15 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadion Inhulets (Petrove)

Referee: Romanyuk A. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	GONET.TV
Czech-republic	goNET TV
Poland	GONETV
Slovakia	goNET TV
Spain	LaLiga+
Ukraine	UPL TV, Watch UP
World	Onefootball


	Inhulets		Kolos Kovalivka

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.1	2.15
	2.35	3.1	3.1	Watch
	3.63	3.05	2.11
	3.82	3.16	2.05	Watch
	3.4	3	2.1
	3.97	3.02	2.22	Watch
	2.35	3.1	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.3 ↑ (3.16)	3.08 ↑ (2.97)	2.4 ↑ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Inhulets
29%

Draw
31.1%

Kolos Kovalivka
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.3%

31.2%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

30.7%

40.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inhulets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Kolos Kovalivka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inhulets than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kolos Kovalivka than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	10%	80%

Inhulets - Kolos Kovalivka Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Inhulets will win (votes: 2 - 10%). Kolos will win (votes: 16 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kolos: 62.5% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Palamarchuk O. (G) 2. Malysh S. 45. Vilivald V. 23. Shershen M. 33. Mysyk M. 20. Volokhatyi R. 22. Bilotserkovets V. 8. Pyatov O. 6. Losenko I. 59. Mogylnyi B. 97. Rezepov D.	31. Pakholiuk I. (G) 81. Popravka E. 32. Kozik E. 5. Bondarenko V. 9. Tsurikov A. 7. Demchenko O. 20. Gagnidze N. 77. Alefirenko D. 19. Diego Carioca 8. Veleten V. 11. Bolivar J.
Substitutes
21. Benediuk A. 44. Chaban V. 42. Gadzhuk I. 99. Kyslenko S. 19. Lisnyak R. 9. Pushkaryov O. 18. Sad V. 87. Skorokhod M. 26. Sydorenko V. 36. Zhylkin A. (G)	6. Burda M. 1. Gorokh V. (G) 15. Gusol A. 69. Ilyin O. 23. Mysak R. (G) 10. Orikhovskyi P. 70. Paulauskas G. 30. Salabay A. 4. Shershen V.
Coaches
Kobin V.	Pozdeev O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Bolivar J. ⚽, Alefirenko D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Diego Carioca ↓, Orikhovskyi P. ↑,
57', 0 - 2, Orikhovskyi P. ⚽, Veleten V. (A),
59', Rezepov D. ↓, Pushkaryov O. ↑,
59', Mogylnyi B. ↓, Kyslenko S. ↑,
71', Alefirenko D. ↓, Gusol A. ↑,
71', Bolivar J. ↓, Paulauskas G. ↑,
73', Losenko I. ↓, Gadzhuk I. ↑,
73', Pyatov O. ↓, Lisnyak R. ↑,
79', Veleten V. ↓, Salabay A. ↑,
83', Volokhatyi R. ↓, Sad V. ↑,
85', Sad V. 🟨,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Persha Liga and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Inhulets won 0.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Inhulets could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Inhulets have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Inhulets won 2 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7:7 (average 0.5:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Inhulets won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:4 (average 0.7:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Inhulets Petrovo
Ukrainian Premier League
29.11.24	Vorskla Poltava - Inhulets	0:3 ✺
23.11.24	Shakhtar Donetsk - Inhulets	6:0 ✺
08.11.24	Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Inhulets	0:0 ✺
03.11.24	Dynamo Kyiv - Inhulets	5:2 ✺
26.10.24	Oleksandriya - Inhulets	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLTLL
- Kolos Kovalivka
Ukrainian Premier League
08.12.24	Kolos Kovalivka - Obolon	0:0 ✺
01.12.24	Kolos Kovalivka - Dynamo Kyiv	1:1 ✺
22.11.24	Karpaty Lviv - Kolos Kovalivka	1:0 ✺
09.11.24	Kolos Kovalivka - Kryvbas	1:1 ✺
03.11.24	Vorskla Poltava - Kolos Kovalivka	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 TTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
10.08.24	Kolos Kovalivka - Inhulets	0:0
14.04.23	Inhulets - Kolos Kovalivka	0:1
07.10.22	Kolos Kovalivka - Inhulets	0:0
18.09.21	Inhulets - Kolos Kovalivka	0:2
07.03.21	Inhulets - Kolos Kovalivka	0:0
27.09.20	Kolos Kovalivka - Inhulets	0:0
Ukrainian Persha Liga
18.11.18	Inhulets - Kolos Kovalivka	0:1

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