Match Info

Druga NL - Round 9

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Inker Zaprešić		Jarun Zagreb

	1	X	2
	2.08	3.10	3.15
	2.19	3	3.31
	1.95	3.35	3.00
	2.07	3.62	3.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.26)	3.27 ↓ (3.35)	3.14 ↑ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Inker Zaprešić
43.6%

Draw
27.6%

Jarun Zagreb
28.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.4%

26.6%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

28.5%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inker Zaprešić has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Jarun Zagreb has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jarun Zagreb might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inker Zaprešić than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jarun Zagreb than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Inker Zaprešić - Jarun Zagreb Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Kovacevic K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
50', 2 - 0, Abramovic J. ⚽,
77', 2 - 1, Ajayi G. ⚽,
81', 2 - 2, Pavlak M. ⚽,

Preview

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 8th and 5th).

Inker Zaprešić has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Jarun is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Inker Zaprešić may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Jarun	9	3	6	0	19:14	5	15
9	Zapresic	10	3	4	3	14:15	-1	13

Last Results with these Odds

Jarun Zagreb - the odds 2.62 are the expected chance of winning is 34%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Inker Zaprešić
Croatian Druga NL
12.10.26	Koprivnica - Inker Zaprešić	1:2 ✺
03.10.26	Inker Zaprešić - Bjelovar	0:0 ✺
26.09.26	Dugo Selo - Inker Zaprešić	3:0 ✺
19.09.26	Varteks Varazdin - Inker Zaprešić	0:2 ✺
12.09.26	Inker Zaprešić - Uskok Klis	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WTLWL
- Jarun Zagreb
Croatian Druga NL
10.10.26	Jarun Zagreb - Varteks Varazdin	1:0 ✺
26.09.26	Jarun Zagreb - Grobničan	3:0 ✺
19.09.26	Radnik Križevci - Jarun Zagreb	2:2 ✺
12.09.26	Jarun Zagreb - Trnje Zagreb	3:3 ✺
05.09.26	Slavonija Požega - Jarun Zagreb	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWTTW

Inker Zaprešić - Jarun Zagreb