Match Info

Date: 7 November 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Insieme Formia		Aprilia

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Insieme Formia
19.9%

Draw
27.2%

Aprilia
53%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

25.6%

29.1%

45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.3%

21.9%

60%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Insieme Formia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Insieme Formia's form might have worsened.

Aprilia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aprilia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Insieme Formia than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aprilia than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aprilia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Play Offs).

Insieme Formia has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Aprilia is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Aprilia will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SSD Insieme Formia
Italian Serie D - Group G
31.10.21	Afragolese - Insieme Formia	2:1 ✺
24.10.21	Insieme Formia - Vis Artena	1:2 ✺
17.10.21	Gladiator - Insieme Formia	4:0 ✺
10.10.21	Insieme Formia - Muravera	1:2 ✺
03.10.21	Carbonia - Insieme Formia	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLLLT
- Aprilia
Coppa Italia Serie D
03.11.21	Cynthialbalonga - Aprilia	3:1 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group G
30.10.21	Aprilia - Lanusei	3:0 ✺
23.10.21	Latte Dolce - Aprilia	0:1 ✺
03.10.21	Aprilia - Afragolese	1:0 ✺
26.09.21	Aprilia - Vis Artena	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LWWWW

Insieme Formia - Aprilia