Match Info

ARGENTINA: RESERVE LEAGUE - FIRST STAGE - ROUND 8

Date: 17 March 2023, Friday

Location: Estadio Presidente Peron (Cordoba)


	Instituto 2		Boca Juniors 2

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.1	2.1
	3.2	3	2.15
	3.2	3	2.1
	3.24	3.18	2.16
	3.2	3.1	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 ↓ (4.1)	3.08 ↓ (3.45)	2.13 ↑ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Instituto 2
28.3%

Draw
29.4%

Boca Juniors 2
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

26.4%

51.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23%

25.5%

49.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Instituto 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Instituto 2's performance.

Boca Juniors 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Boca Juniors 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Instituto 2 than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Instituto 2 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors 2 than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Boca Juniors 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Instituto 2 - Boca Juniors 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 9 and 17).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Instituto 2 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Boca Juniors 2 is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Instituto 2
Argentinian Reserve League
11.03.23	Atlético Tucumán 2 - Instituto 2	0:3 ✺
04.03.23	Instituto 2 - Independiente 2	1:2 ✺
26.02.23	Newells Old Boys 2 - Instituto 2	1:1 ✺
17.02.23	Instituto 2 - Gimnasia La Plata 2	2:0 ✺
10.02.23	Huracán Buenos Aires 2 - Instituto 2	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WLTWT
- Boca Juniors 2
Argentinian Reserve League
09.03.23	Boca Juniors 2 - Banfield 2	2:0 ✺
05.03.23	Defensa y Justicia 2 - Boca Juniors 2	1:1 ✺
24.02.23	Boca Juniors 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	1:2 ✺
18.02.23	Platense 2 - Boca Juniors 2	1:0 ✺
10.02.23	Boca Juniors 2 - Talleres de Córdoba 2	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 WTLLT

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