Match Info

Reserve League - Clausura - Round 8

Date: 9 September 2026, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Instituto 2		Sarmiento de Junín 2

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.87	3.00
	2.18	2.95	3.00
	2.47	2.92	3.29
	2.32	2.97	3.14	Watch
	2.45	2.7	3.1
	2.4	3.23	2.92
	2.23	3	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.18)	2.95 (2.95)	3.09 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Instituto 2
39.3%

Draw
31%

Sarmiento de Junín 2
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

30%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

27.9%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Instituto 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Sarmiento de Junín 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Instituto 2 than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarmiento de Junín 2 than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Instituto 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, ⚽,
26', 1 - 1, ⚽,
35', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Instituto 2 is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sarmiento 2 has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Instituto 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Instituto 2 will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Instituto 2 won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.3:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Instituto 2 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Sarmiento de Junín 2 - the odds 3 are the expected chance of winning is 29.47%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Instituto 2
Argentinian Reserve League
02.09.26	Talleres de Córdoba 2 - Instituto 2	0:1 ✺
25.08.26	Instituto 2 - Argentinos Juniors 2	2:0 ✺
19.08.26	Banfield 2 - Instituto 2	2:3 ✺
12.08.26	Instituto 2 - Aldosivi 2	1:1 ✺
06.08.26	Rosario Central 2 - Instituto 2	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.2 WWWTT
- Sarmiento de Junín 2
Argentinian Reserve League
01.09.26	Argentinos Juniors 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	1:1 ✺
25.08.26	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - Aldosivi 2	0:0 ✺
19.08.26	Gimnasia La Plata 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	0:2 ✺
11.08.26	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - Unión Santa Fe 2	0:0 ✺
04.08.26	Atlético Tucumán 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
09.04.26	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - Instituto 2	1:1
21.10.25	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - Instituto 2	0:0
22.05.25	Instituto 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	0:0
27.01.23	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - Instituto 2	0:0

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