Match Info

Reserve League - Clausura - Round 6

Date: 25 August 2026, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Sarmiento de Junín 2		Aldosivi 2

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.90	3.00
	1.94	3.10	3.40
	2.38	3.04	3.06
	2.37	3.02	3	Watch
	2.35	2.80	3.10
	2.34	3.12	3.12
	2.25	2.90	3.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (1.94)	2.98 ↓ (3.1)	3.1 ↓ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarmiento de Junín 2
40.1%

Draw
30.5%

Aldosivi 2
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

28.5%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

25.5%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarmiento de Junín 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sarmiento de Junín 2's form might have worsened.

Aldosivi 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarmiento de Junín 2 than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sarmiento de Junín 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aldosivi 2 than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aldosivi 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sarmiento de Junín 2 - Aldosivi 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 14).

Sarmiento 2 is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Aldosivi 2 has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Sarmiento 2 will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento 2 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Sarmiento 2 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Aldosivi 2 - the odds 3.4 are the expected chance of winning is 25.98%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarmiento de Junín 2
Argentinian Reserve League
19.08.26	Gimnasia La Plata 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	0:2 ✺
11.08.26	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - Unión Santa Fe 2	0:0 ✺
04.08.26	Atlético Tucumán 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	0:0 ✺
24.07.26	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - Godoy Cruz 2	2:1 ✺
13.07.26	Gimnasia Mendoza 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WTTWW
- CA Aldosivi 2
Argentinian Reserve League
19.08.26	Aldosivi 2 - Argentinos Juniors 2	1:0 ✺
12.08.26	Instituto 2 - Aldosivi 2	1:1 ✺
04.08.26	Gimnasia La Plata 2 - Aldosivi 2	2:0 ✺
22.07.26	Aldosivi 2 - Unión Santa Fe 2	0:0 ✺
14.07.26	Atlético Tucumán 2 - Aldosivi 2	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
25.03.26	Aldosivi 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	3:0
03.09.22	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - Aldosivi 2	0:0

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