Match Info

Primera Divisió - Round 14

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadi Comunal (Andorra la Vella)


	Inter Escaldes		UE Santa Coloma

	1	X	2
	2.22	2.98	3.05
	2.29	2.98	3.12	Watch
	2.3	2.9	2.8
	2.35	2.72	3.24
	2.37	2.71	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (1.92)	2.86 ↓ (3.23)	3.08 ↓ (3.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Inter Escaldes
39.1%

Draw
31.6%

UE Santa Coloma
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

28.1%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

26.6%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inter Escaldes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Inter Escaldes's form might have worsened.

UE Santa Coloma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Escaldes than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Inter Escaldes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UE Santa Coloma than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for UE Santa Coloma, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Inter Escaldes - UE Santa Coloma Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, ⚽,
14', 🟨,
18', 🟨,
34', 🟨,
38', 🟨,
39', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', 🟨,
63', 🟨,
74', 🟨,
87', 🟨,
90+6', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Inter Escaldes won 3.

Both teams have recently enjoyed a winning streak.

UE Santa Coloma may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, UE Santa Coloma has had a series of home games.

Inter Escaldes might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Inter Escaldes won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 28:24. (average 1.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Inter Escaldes won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.7:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Inter Escaldes	3	2	1	0	8:2	6	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Inter Escaldes
Andorra Cup
11.01.26	La Massana - Inter Escaldes	0:3 ✺
Andorra Primera Divisio
21.12.25	Inter Escaldes - Esperança	2:0 ✺
17.12.25	Inter Escaldes - Penya Encarnada	4:0 ✺
14.12.25	Ràngers - Inter Escaldes	0:1 ✺
06.12.25	Inter Escaldes - Carroi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWWW
- UE Santa Coloma
Andorra Primera Divisio
21.12.25	Atlètic Escaldes - UE Santa Coloma	1:2 ✺
14.12.25	UE Santa Coloma - Esperança	7:0 ✺
10.12.25	UE Santa Coloma - Ràngers	1:0 ✺
07.12.25	UE Santa Coloma - Ràngers	2:1 ✺
30.11.25	UE Santa Coloma - Carroi	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Andorra Primera Divisio
09.11.25	UE Santa Coloma - Inter Escaldes	4:1
Andorra Cup
16.04.25	UE Santa Coloma - Inter Escaldes	1:2
Andorra Primera Divisio
22.02.25	Inter Escaldes - UE Santa Coloma	3:0
20.10.24	Inter Escaldes - UE Santa Coloma	3:2
Andorra Super Cup
18.09.24	UE Santa Coloma - Inter Escaldes	2:1
Andorra Primera Divisio
21.01.24	UE Santa Coloma - Inter Escaldes	0:0
30.09.23	UE Santa Coloma - Inter Escaldes	2:1

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