Match Info

Gaucho 2 - Round 11

Date: 13 July 2025, Sunday


	Inter Santa Maria		Santa Cruz-RS

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.2	4.75
	1.62	3.27	5.46
				Watch
	1.63	3.24	5.65
	1.8	3.4	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.8)	3.28 ↓ (3.4)	5.09 ↑ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Inter Santa Maria
54.2%

Draw
27.8%

Santa Cruz-RS
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

27.4%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

27%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inter Santa Maria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Santa Cruz-RS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Santa Maria than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Cruz-RS than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Inter Santa Maria - Santa Cruz RS Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Inter SM (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
74', 1 - 0, Leylon ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Gaucho 2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Inter SM is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Inter SM won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).

Including home match between the teams, Inter SM won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Inter Santa Maria
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
06.07.25	Aimoré - Inter Santa Maria	1:0 ✺
29.06.25	Inter Santa Maria - Gaúcho	2:1 ✺
22.06.25	GE Bagé - Inter Santa Maria	0:0 ✺
11.06.25	Inter Santa Maria - GE Glória	1:1 ✺
07.06.25	Real SC - Inter Santa Maria	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWTTW
- Santa Cruz-RS
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
06.07.25	Santa Cruz-RS - Passo Fundo	2:2 ✺
29.06.25	Novo Hamburgo - Santa Cruz-RS	0:0 ✺
24.06.25	Santa Cruz-RS - Real SC	1:0 ✺
15.06.25	Frederiquense - Santa Cruz-RS	2:1 ✺
11.06.25	Lajeadense - Santa Cruz-RS	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
14.05.23	Santa Cruz-RS - Inter Santa Maria	2:2
04.06.22	Santa Cruz-RS - Inter Santa Maria	2:2
21.04.22	Inter Santa Maria - Santa Cruz-RS	0:2

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