Match Info

BURUNDI: PRIMUS LEAGUE - ROUND 15

Date: 26 November 2023, Sunday


	Inter Star		Bumamuru Standard

	1	X	2
	8.75	5	1.26
	8.4	4.95	1.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.58 ↑ (5.73)	4.98 ↑ (3.75)	1.27 ↓ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Inter Star
10.6%

Draw
18.2%

Bumamuru Standard
71.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.8%

24.2%

60%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.6%

23.9%

60.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inter Star has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Inter Star's form might have worsened.

Bumamuru Standard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bumamuru Standard's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Star than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bumamuru Standard than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bumamuru Standard, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Inter Star - Bumamuru Standard Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 11 and 7).

Inter Star is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bumamuru is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bumamuru could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Bumamuru have a series of home games.

In this match Bumamuru is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Inter Star won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Inter Star won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Inter Star
Burundi Premier League
18.11.23	VitalO - Inter Star	3:0 ✺
11.11.23	Inter Star - Musongati	0:3 ✺
28.10.23	Inter Star - Amasipiri	0:1 ✺
21.10.23	Dynamik - Inter Star	3:0 ✺
14.10.23	Inter Star - Tigre Noir	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLLLW
- Bumamuru Standard FC
Burundi Premier League
19.11.23	Bumamuru Standard - Aigle Noir	1:1 ✺
12.11.23	VitalO - Bumamuru Standard	0:1 ✺
05.11.23	Bumamuru Standard - Olympique Star	2:0 ✺
22.10.23	Bumamuru Standard - Le Messager de Ngozi	1:1 ✺
08.10.23	Bumamuru Standard - Rukinzo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Burundi Premier League
27.02.21	Inter Star - Bumamuru Standard	1:0
01.11.20	Bumamuru Standard - Inter Star	1:0
08.03.20	Inter Star - Bumamuru Standard	1:1
14.11.19	Bumamuru Standard - Inter Star	0:1

Inter Star - Bumamuru Standard: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide