Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 32

Date: 15 April 2023, Saturday


	Intercity		La Nucía

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.6	5.5
	1.57	3.5	5.25
	1.65	3.25	5.25
	1.59	3.75	5.98
	1.6	3.42	6.35
	1.59	3.65	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (2.25)	3.53 ↑ (2.95)	5.59 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Intercity
57.6%

Draw
26%

La Nucía
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

31.5%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

30.3%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Intercity has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Intercity's performance.

La Nucía has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and La Nucía might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Intercity than the current prediction. (-14.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Intercity that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Nucía than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that La Nucía could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Intercity - La Nucía Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 14 and 15).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

La Nucía could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Intercity is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Intercity won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Intercity won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Intercity
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
09.04.23	Osasuna B - Intercity	5:1 ✺
02.04.23	Eldense - Intercity	2:0 ✺
26.03.23	Intercity - Amorebieta	0:0 ✺
19.03.23	UD Logroñés - Intercity	0:1 ✺
12.03.23	Intercity - Atlético Baleares	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLTWT
- CF La Nucía
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
12.04.23	La Nucía - Amorebieta	1:2 ✺
09.04.23	La Nucía - Athletic Bilbao B	3:1 ✺
01.04.23	Gimnástic de Tarragona - La Nucía	0:0 ✺
26.03.23	La Nucía - UD Logroñés	2:2 ✺
18.03.23	Real Murcia - La Nucía	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
06.12.22	La Nucía - Intercity	0:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
15.05.22	La Nucía - Intercity	0:0
09.01.22	Intercity - La Nucía	1:1

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