Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 4

Date: 16 September 2023, Saturday


	Intercity		San Fernando

	1	X	2
	2	3.2	3.5
	2.05	3.25	3.5
	2.09	3.17	3.69
	2	3.3	3.68
	2	3.2	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.96)	3.22 ↓ (3.33)	3.56 ↑ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Intercity
45.5%

Draw
28.6%

San Fernando
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

27.5%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

27.3%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Intercity has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

San Fernando has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Intercity than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Fernando than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Intercity - San Fernando Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Campos G. (G) 2. Jaime G. 22. Camara D. 15. Perez A. 12. Vazquez L. 19. Traore M. 10. Fernandez X. 4. Undabarrena E. 21. Burlamaqui A. 11. Roige Rodriguez P. 8. Nsue E.	1. Fuoli D. (G) 20. Estacio X. 5. Blanco C. 23. Ramirez J. 15. Ruiz V. 7. Biabiany J. 18. Naveira U. 6. Molina D. 21. Arroyo N. 11. Aquino D. 12. Selma D.
Substitutes
5. Bellotti M. 6. Ceberio J. 9. Etxaniz J. 16. Galvez R. 1. Herrera M. (G) 20. Mendibe M. 17. Moreno S. 14. Murria V. 23. Pinan A. 3. Romero C. 7. Soldevila O.	13. Arana E. (G) 25. Davila Y. 4. Farrando M. 14. Fullana F. 16. Leon C. 22. Oliva G. 10. Ramos D. 3. Ruiz L. 17. Sanchez A.

Preview

Intercity is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches San Fernando is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

San Fernando could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Intercity have a series of guest games.

Intercity will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Intercity
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
10.09.23	Castellón - Intercity	3:1 ✺
03.09.23	Intercity - Alcoyano	1:0 ✺
27.08.23	Recreativo Huelva - Intercity	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
20.08.23	Alzira - Intercity	1:1 ✺
12.08.23	Atlético Madrid B - Intercity	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLTL
- CD San Fernando
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
10.09.23	San Fernando - Córdoba	3:1 ✺
03.09.23	Algeciras - San Fernando	2:1 ✺
27.08.23	San Fernando - Ceuta	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.23	Málaga - San Fernando	1:1 ✺
05.08.23	San Fernando - Marbella	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLLTL

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