Match Info

Serie D - Round 6

Date: 24 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio Major José Levy Sobrinho (Limeira)


	Internacional de Limeira		Itabirito

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.3	4.6
	1.74	3.2	4.74
	1.71	3.34	4.91	Watch
	1.71	3.35	4.63
	1.72	3.3	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (2.08)	3.3 ↑ (3.2)	4.7 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Internacional de Limeira
53%

Draw
27.6%

Itabirito
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

28.1%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

27.8%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Internacional de Limeira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Internacional de Limeira's performance.

Itabirito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Itabirito might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Internacional de Limeira than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Internacional de Limeira that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Itabirito than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Itabirito could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Internacional de Limeira - Itabirito Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Lucas Douglas ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
59', 2 - 0, Miguel Bianconi ⚽,
64', 3 - 0, Antonio Gabriel ⚽,
87', 3 - 1, Victor Sallinas ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 6).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Inter de Limeira might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Internacional de Limeira
Brazilian Serie D
17.05.25	Cianorte - Internacional de Limeira	0:0 ✺
10.05.25	FC Cascavel - Internacional de Limeira	2:0 ✺
03.05.25	Internacional de Limeira - Atlético Monte Azul	1:1 ✺
26.04.25	Internacional de Limeira - Uberlândia	1:0 ✺
20.04.25	Goiatuba - Internacional de Limeira	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TLTWW
- Itabirito FC
Brazilian Serie D
18.05.25	Itabirito - Uberlândia	1:3 ✺
10.05.25	Operário MS - Itabirito	1:1 ✺
04.05.25	Goiatuba - Itabirito	0:0 ✺
26.04.25	Itabirito - Cianorte	2:2 ✺
19.04.25	Atlético Monte Azul - Itabirito	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LTTTW

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