Match Info

GREECE: Super League 2 - Promotion Group - Round 7

Date: 29 April 2024, Monday

Location: Dimotiko Gipedo Neapolis (Athens)


	Ionikos Nikaias		Athens Kallithea

	1	X	2
	8	4.1	1.35
	10	4.33	1.33
	8.55	3.82	1.31
	8.55	3.82	1.32
	9.4	4.21	1.33
	8.2	3.95	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.78 ↑ (2.79)	4.04 ↑ (2.78)	1.33 ↓ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ionikos Nikaias
10.2%

Draw
22.3%

Athens Kallithea
67.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

33.4%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

34.8%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ionikos Nikaias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-23.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ionikos Nikaias's form might have worsened.

Athens Kallithea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+34.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Athens Kallithea's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ionikos Nikaias than the current prediction. (+21.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ionikos Nikaias, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athens Kallithea than the current prediction. (-32.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Athens Kallithea, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.7%	13.3%	60%

Ionikos Nikaias - Athens Kallithea Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Ionikos will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Athens Kallithea will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Athens Kallithea: 31.2% – 83%.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
40', Tasoulis C. 🟨,
45', 0 - 1, Loukinas G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+2', 0 - 2, Loukinas G. ⚽,

Preview

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

In this match Athens Kallithea is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Ionikos won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Ionikos won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ionikos Nikaias
Greek Super League 2
21.04.24	PAE Chania - Ionikos Nikaias	0:1 ✺
14.04.24	Ionikos Nikaias - Ilioupolis	2:2 ✺
07.04.24	Ionikos Nikaias - Kalamata	0:0 ✺
31.03.24	Athens Kallithea - Ionikos Nikaias	1:1 ✺
24.03.24	Ionikos Nikaias - PAE Chania	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.7 WTTTW
- Athens Kallithea
Greek Super League 2
21.04.24	Athens Kallithea - Ilioupolis	4:0 ✺
14.04.24	Kalamata - Athens Kallithea	0:1 ✺
04.04.24	PAE Chania - Athens Kallithea	2:1 ✺
31.03.24	Athens Kallithea - Ionikos Nikaias	1:1 ✺
25.03.24	Ilioupolis - Athens Kallithea	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Greek Super League 2
31.03.24	Athens Kallithea - Ionikos Nikaias	1:1
18.02.24	Athens Kallithea - Ionikos Nikaias	2:1
19.11.23	Ionikos Nikaias - Athens Kallithea	0:1
Greek Cup
13.09.23	Ionikos Nikaias - Athens Kallithea	0:3

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