Match Info

Gamma Ethniki - Group 6 - Round 21

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Dimotiko Gipedo Neapolis (Athens)


	Ionikos Nikaias		Atsalenios

	1	X	2
	1.28	4.25	11
	1.3	4.56	12.6
	1.29	4.3	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.36)	4.37 ↑ (4)	11.53 ↑ (8.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ionikos Nikaias
71.1%

Draw
21%

Atsalenios
7.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.9%

22.7%

10.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.8%

21.4%

9.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ionikos Nikaias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Atsalenios has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ionikos Nikaias than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atsalenios than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Ionikos Nikaias - Atsalenios Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Gamma Ethniki ~ Group 6 (Winners stage: ) and 7 in the zone Gamma Ethniki ~ Group 6 (Losers stage: )).

Ionikos is Qualified for Gamma Ethniki ~ Group 6 (Winners stage )

In recent matches, Ionikos has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Atsalenios is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ionikos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ionikos is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ionikos won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 2.3:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Ionikos won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 3:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ionikos Nikaias
Greek Gamma Ethniki - Group 6
08.02.26	Ionikos Nikaias - Granitis Agia Marina	3:0 ✺
01.02.26	Giouchtas - Ionikos Nikaias	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Saronikos Anavyssou - Ionikos Nikaias	1:1 ✺
18.01.26	Ionikos Nikaias - Haidari	1:0 ✺
11.01.26	Ilisiakos - Ionikos Nikaias	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WTTWL
- Atsalenios FC
Greek Gamma Ethniki - Group 6
15.02.26	Atsalenios - Kyanos Asteras Vari	1:1 ✺
09.02.26	Mykonos - Atsalenios	2:1 ✺
18.01.26	Giouchtas - Atsalenios	1:0 ✺
14.01.26	Atsalenios - Saronikos Anavyssou	0:2 ✺
21.12.25	Haidari - Atsalenios	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Greek Gamma Ethniki - Group 6
23.11.25	Atsalenios - Ionikos Nikaias	1:1
Greek Division C
06.01.19	Ionikos Nikaias - Atsalenios	1:0
Greek Division C - Group D
23.11.16	Ionikos Nikaias - Atsalenios	5:1

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