Match Info

GREECE: Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 - Round 28

Date: 16 March 2025, Sunday


	Iraklis Ammoudia		Alexandroupoli

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.2	3.8
	1.91	3.2	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.29)	3.2 ↑ (3.1)	3.8 ↑ (2.95)

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Iraklis Ammoudia
47.6%

Draw
28.4%

Alexandroupoli
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

29.4%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

28.5%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Iraklis Ammoudia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Iraklis Ammoudia's performance.

Alexandroupoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alexandroupoli might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Iraklis Ammoudia than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Iraklis Ammoudia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexandroupoli than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alexandroupoli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 11 and 13 in the zone Relegation).

Iraklis Ammoudia is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Alexandroupoli is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Alexandroupoli have a series of home games.

Iraklis Ammoudia will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Iraklis Ammoudia
Greek Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
01.03.25	Iraklis Ammoudia - Apollon Paralimnio	0:0 ✺
23.02.25	Evosmou - Iraklis Ammoudia	1:1 ✺
16.02.25	Iraklis Ammoudia - Thermaikos	0:0 ✺
12.02.25	Poseidonas Michanionas - Iraklis Ammoudia	0:1 ✺
08.02.25	Iraklis Ammoudia - Pontion Neas Amisou	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 TTTWW
- Alexandroupoli FC
Greek Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
01.03.25	Alexandroupoli - Nestos Chrysoupoli	1:2 ✺
16.02.25	Alexandroupoli - Kilkisiakos	1:1 ✺
12.02.25	Orestis Orestiadas - Alexandroupoli	0:0 ✺
08.02.25	Alexandroupoli - Aris Pigon	0:2 ✺
26.01.25	Alexandroupoli - PAOK Kristonis	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LTTLL

Iraklis Ammoudia - Alexandroupoli: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide