Match Info

Asian Games - Round 3

Date: 23 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Wave Stadium Kariya (Kariya)

Where to Watch on TV:


Indonesia	Vidio
Iran	IRIB Varzesh
Philippines	Cignal Play, Pilipinas Live
Singapore	meWATCH
Thailand	AIS PLAY


	Iran U23		North Korea U23

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.6	5.75
	1.63	3.30	4.80
	1.5	3.45	5.9
	1.56	3.94	6.2
	1.96	3.38	3.75	Watch
	1.54	3.9	5.3
	1.51	3.68	5.81
	1.5	3.6	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (2.12)	3.61 ↑ (3.1)	5.41 ↑ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Iran U23
57.7%

Draw
25.4%

North Korea U23
16.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.6%

29.1%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Iran U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Iran U23's performance.

North Korea U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and North Korea U23 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	25%	12.5%

Iran U23 - North Korea U23 Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Iran U23 will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). North Korea U23 will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Iran U23: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. North Korea U23 (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Khalifeh M. (G) Aluminium Arak 6. Dehghan M. Al Wahda 4. Eiri D. Persepolis 5. Hazbavi M. (C) Sepahan 10. Hosseinzadeh A. Tractor 19. Jorjani Y. Sepahan 2. Koohi A. Mazandaran 20. Mazrae Y. Foolad 8. Razzaghinia A. Esteghlal TEH 9. Saharkhizan S. Esteghlal TEH 11. Taheri K. Sepahan	1. Kang Ju-Hyok (C) Hwaebul 17. Choe Kuk 12. Choe Ryong-Il 5. Jong Hwi-Nam 22. Kim Kuk-Bom Ryomyong 16. Kim Yu-Song 20. Paek Chung-Song Ryomyong 15. Ra M. 7. Ri Kum-Chol 4. Ri Song-hung 11. Yom Chol-gyong
Substitutes
22. Abbasi A. (G) Paykan 17. Ghandipour R. Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai 7. Gholizadeh E. Esteghlal TEH 14. Jafari F. Malavan 16. Kahrizi A. Aluminium Arak 18. Latififar P. Persepolis 23. Latifi G. Foolad 3. Moamelehgari F. Malavan 15. Mohebi M. Kheybar Khorramabad 13. Sahraei S. Gol Gohar 21. Shahrabadi P. Persepolis 12. Zarei A. (G) Shams Azar Qazvin	23. An Kyong-ung 6. Han Jae-yong 9. Ho Chol-myong 19. Hong Kwon-hwi 21. Hong Tae-han (G) 2. Jong Ye-won 3. Kim K. 18. Kim Ryong-ik (G) 14. Kwang-Myong R. 8. Pak Hyok-song 10. Ri Il-song Ryomyong

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
17', 1 - 0, Hosseinzadeh A. ⚽, Taheri K. (A),
22', Ri Song-hung ↓, Han Jae-yong ↑,
38', Ri Kum-Chol ↓, Kwang-Myong R. ↑,
41', 1 - 1, Choe Kuk ⚽, Yom Chol-gyong (A),
44', 1 - 2, Ra M. ⚽, Han Jae-yong (A),
45+2', Kim Kuk-Bom 🟨,
45+3', Dehghan M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
51', 1 - 3, Ra M. ⚽, Kwang-Myong R. (A),
53', Mazrae Y. ↓, Gholizadeh E. ↑,
53', Hosseinzadeh A. ↓, Shahrabadi P. ↑,
68', 1 - 4, Paek Chung-Song ⚽,
71', Razzaghinia A. ↓, Mohebi M. ↑,
73', Saharkhizan S. 🟨,
82', Dehghan M. ↓, Sahraei S. ↑,
84', Choe Kuk ↓, An Kyong-ung ↑,
84', Yom Chol-gyong ↓, Hong Kwon-hwi ↑,

Preview

Iran U23 is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Iran U23 has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Iran U23
Asian Games Football
20.09.26	Iran U23 - China U23	0:0 ✺
16.09.26	United Arab Emirates U23 - Iran U23	1:3 ✺
AFC Asian Cup U23
13.01.26	Iran U23 - Lebanon U23	0:1 ✺
10.01.26	Iran U23 - Uzbekistan U23	0:0 ✺
07.01.26	South Korea U23 - Iran U23	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TWLTT
- North Korea U23
Asian Games Football
20.09.26	North Korea U23 - United Arab Emirates U23	0:0 ✺
16.09.26	China U23 - North Korea U23	2:1 ✺
Friendly
31.03.26	North Korea U23 - Thailand U23	3:1 ✺
28.03.26	China U23 - North Korea U23	1:1 ✺
25.03.26	Vietnam U23 - North Korea U23	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Asian Games Football
17.08.18	Iran U23 - North Korea U23	3:0

Iran U23 - North Korea U23: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide