Match Info

World Cup - Qualification - Fourth stage - Round 2

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday

Location: King Abdullah Sports City (Jeddah)

Referee: Ma Ning (Chn)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 2
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, Q Football Asia, TOD
Australia	Paramount+
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	beIN Connect
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 7
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Hong-kong	RTHK TV 32
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	GTV, K-Vision, RCTI, RCTI+
Iraq	Al Iraqiya Sports
Israel	5 SPORT Israel
Japan	DAZN Japan
Malaysia	Astro Arena 2, Astro Go, Sooka
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 2
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 2
North-macedonia	TDM Desporto
Peru	Disney+
Russia	TV Start, TV Start Triumph
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	D Smart GO, Spor Smart 1
Ukraine	Sport 1, Sport 3
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	K+ Sport 1, K+, TV 360
International	Onefootball, Sport 1 Baltic


	Iraq		Indonesia

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.6	4.5	Watch
	1.78	3.55	4.15
	1.85	3.84	4.21
	1.88	3.49	4.17	Watch
	1.87	3.65	4.27	Watch
	2.25	3	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.25)	3.52 ↑ (3)	4.12 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Iraq
49.8%

Draw
27%

Indonesia
23.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.5%

31.1%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Iraq has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Iraq's performance.

Indonesia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	15.2%	3%

Iraq - Indonesia Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Iraq will win (votes: 27 - 81.8%). Indonesia will win (votes: 1 - 3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 15.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Iraq: 68.6% – 95%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Iraq (2.05) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Iraq will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Iraq (votes: 11 - 91.7%). Indonesia (votes: 1 - 8.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Hachim J. (C) Al Zawraa 3. Ali H. Pogon Szczecin 4. Tahseen Z. Pakhtakor 23. Doski M. Plzen 6. Younis M. Al Shorta 13. Resan B. Pakhtakor 16. Al Ammari A. Cracovia 19. Yakob K. Aarhus 8. Bayesh I. Al Riyadh 10. Meme Dibba Al Fujairah 9. Karim S. Zakho	1. Paes M. (G) FC Dallas 5. Ridho R. Persija Jakarta 2. Diks K. B. Monchengladbach 3. Idzes J. (C) Sassuolo 21. James D. G.A. Eagles 15. Kambuaya R. Dewa United 14. Pelupessy J. Lommel SK 17. Verdonk C. Lille 19. Haye T. Persib Bandung 13. Zijlstra M. FC Volendam 23. Reijnders E. Persib Bandung
Substitutes
11. Abdulkareem H. Al Zawraa 7. Amyn Y. AEK Larnaca 22. Basil A. (G) Al Shorta 5. Hashim A. Y. Al Zawraa 14. Iqbal Z. 17. Jasim A. Al Najma 18. Muhsin A. Brage 21. Saadoon M. Al Quwa Al Jawiya 20. Sher A. Sarpsborg 08 2. Sulaka R. Port MTI FC 1. Talib F. (G) Al Talaba 15. Yahya A. Al Shorta	4. Amat J. Persija Jakarta 16. Argawinata N. (G) Borneo 12. Ari E. (G) Persebaya 9. Jonathans M. Utrecht 18. Klok M. Persib Bandung 8. Lilipaly S. Dewa United 11. Oratmangoen R. Dender 20. Pattynama S. Buriram United F.C. 7. Sananta R. DPMM 10. ter Haar Romeny O. Oxford Utd 22. Tjoe a On N. Willem II 6. Walsh S. Buriram United F.C.
Coaches
Arnold G.	Kluivert P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Verdonk C. 🟨,
44', Kambuaya R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Kambuaya R. ↓, Oratmangoen R. ↑,
46', Karim S. ↓, Amyn Y. ↑,
46', Yakob K. ↓, Iqbal Z. ↑,
47', Zijlstra M. 🟨,
56', Zijlstra M. ↓, ter Haar Romeny O. ↑,
66', Reijnders E. ↓, Jonathans M. ↑,
69', Tahseen Z. 🟨,
69', Meme ↓, Muhsin A. ↑,
69', Resan B. ↓, Jasim A. ↑,
76', 1 - 0, Iqbal Z. ⚽, Amyn Y. (A),
86', ter Haar Romeny O. 🟨,
87', Pelupessy J. ↓, Sananta R. ↑,
87', James D. ↓, Tjoe a On N. ↑,
90+4', Younis M. ↓, Sulaka R. ↑,
90+6', Jonathans M. 🟨,
90+9', Tahseen Z. 🟨,

Preview

Neutral location.

Iraq may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Iraq is the team to beat.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Iraq won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:2. (average 2.6:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Iraq
Kings Cup Thailand
07.09.25	Thailand - Iraq	0:1 ✺
04.09.25	Iraq - Hong Kong	2:1 ✺
FIFA World Cup
10.06.25	Jordan - Iraq	0:1 ✺
05.06.25	Iraq - South Korea	0:2 ✺
25.03.25	Palestine - Iraq	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWWLL
- Indonesia
FIFA World Cup
08.10.25	Indonesia - Saudi Arabia	2:3 ✺
Friendly
08.09.25	Indonesia - Lebanon	0:0 ✺
05.09.25	Indonesia - Chinese Taipei	6:0 ✺
FIFA World Cup
10.06.25	Japan - Indonesia	6:0 ✺
05.06.25	Indonesia - China	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
06.06.24	Indonesia - Iraq	0:2
Asian Cup
15.01.24	Indonesia - Iraq	1:3
FIFA World Cup
16.11.23	Iraq - Indonesia	5:1
Asian Cup
19.11.13	Indonesia - Iraq	0:2
06.02.13	Iraq - Indonesia	1:0

Iraq - Indonesia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide