Match Info

Kings Cup - Semi-finals

Date: 4 September 2025, Thursday


	Iraq		Hong Kong

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.25	5	9.5
	1.24	5.58	11.51
	1.42	4.27	7.34	Watch
	1.3	5.32	9.04	Watch
	1.29	4.71	7.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↑ (1.29)	4.98 ↑ (4.71)	8.96 ↑ (7.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Iraq
71.1%

Draw
18.6%

Hong Kong
10.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.1%

18.9%

12%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Iraq has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Hong Kong has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Iraq - Hong Kong Predictions

Users Predictions: Iraq will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Basil A. (G) Al Shorta 3. Putros F. Persib Bandung 4. Tahseen Z. Pakhtakor 14. Attwan A. Zakho 6. Younis M. Al Shorta 20. Rashid O. Erbil 15. Yahya A. Al Shorta 21. Farji M. Stromsgodset 8. Bayesh I. Al Riyadh 11. Madjed M. Hammarby 18. Hussein A. (C) Al-Karma	1. Yapp H. (C) Eastern AA 2. Jones L. Eastern District 17. Chan Shinichi Shanghai Shenhua 4. Nunez V. Yanbian Longding 13. Stefan Southern District 6. Tan Chun-Lok Kitchee 3. Gerbig O. Henan Songshan Longmen 11. Camargo E. Lee Man Warriors 12. Fernando Tai Po 7. Juninho Kitchee 9. Orr M. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
Substitutes
16. Al Ammari A. Cracovia 7. Amyn Y. AEK Larnaca 23. Doski M. Plzen 5. Faez A. Al Najaf 12. Hachim J. (G) Al Zawraa 9. Jasim S. 17. Karim S. Erbil 10. Meme Dibba Al Fujairah 13. Muhsin A. Brage 2. Sulaka R. Port MTI FC 1. Talib F. (G) Al Talaba 19. Yakob K. Aarhus	21. Benavides N. Tai Po 23. Benhaddouche C. Shenzhen Juniors 20. Bleda M. Eastern AA 16. Chan Siu-Kwan P. Tai Po 5. Dudu Lee Man Warriors 19. Jojo A. C. Shanghai Port 15. Lau K. Lee Man Warriors 22. Merkies R. Shandong Taishan 8. Ngan Cheuk-Pan Tai Po 18. Tse Ka-Wing (G) Tai Po 14. Yu Joy-yin Shijiazhuang Gongfu

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
61', 0 - 1, Orr M. (Pen),
63', Madjed M. ↓, Amyn Y. ↑,
64', Attwan A. ↓, Yakob K. ↑,
64', Farji M. ↓, Meme ↑,
67', 1 - 1, Meme ⚽, Bayesh I. (A),
70', Fernando ↓, Ngan Cheuk-Pan ↑,
70', Stefan ↓, Benavides N. ↑,
74', Rashid O. ↓, Al Ammari A. ↑,
74', Yahya A. ↓, Doski M. ↑,
75', Juninho ↓, Lau K. ↑,
78', Hussein A. ↓, Muhsin A. ↑,
80', 2 - 1, Meme ⚽, Tahseen Z. (A),
85', Gerbig O. 🟨,
86', Tan Chun-Lok ↓, Yu Joy-yin ↑,

Preview

In this match, Iraq is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Iraq won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Iraq
FIFA World Cup
10.06.25	Jordan - Iraq	0:1 ✺
05.06.25	Iraq - South Korea	0:2 ✺
25.03.25	Palestine - Iraq	2:1 ✺
20.03.25	Iraq - Kuwait	2:2 ✺
Gulf Cup of Nations
28.12.24	Iraq - Saudi Arabia	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLLTL
- Hong Kong
EAFF E-1
15.07.25	China - Hong Kong	1:0 ✺
11.07.25	Hong Kong - South Korea	0:2 ✺
08.07.25	Japan - Hong Kong	6:1 ✺
Asian Cup
10.06.25	Hong Kong - India	1:0 ✺
Friendly
05.06.25	Hong Kong - Nepal	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
11.06.21	Hong Kong - Iraq	0:1
10.10.19	Iraq - Hong Kong	2:0

Iraq - Hong Kong: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide