Match Info

AFC Asian Cup U23 - Round 3

Date: 14 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium (Riyadh)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Australia	Paramount+
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
China	iQIYI, Migu
Croatia	SportKlub 3
Germany	Magenta Sport, Sportdigital1+
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
India	Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
Japan	DAZN Japan
Pakistan	Tapmad
Slovenia	SportKlub 3
South-korea	Coupang Play
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
Vietnam	FPT Play, TV 360
International	Onefootball


	Iraq U23		Australia U23

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.25	3.05	1.88
	4.48	3.23	1.88	Watch
	3.9	2.8	1.95
	4.37	3.12	1.93	Watch
	4.25	3	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.25 ↑ (3.56)	3.04 ↓ (3.08)	1.9 ↓ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Iraq U23
21.6%

Draw
30.1%

Australia U23
48.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

25.2%

29.1%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Iraq U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Australia U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	60%	20%

Iraq U23 - Australia U23 Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Iraq U23 will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Australia U23 will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Iraq U23 has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Australia U23 is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Iraq U23 won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Iraq U23
AFC Asian Cup U23
11.01.26	Thailand U23 - Iraq U23	1:1 ✺
08.01.26	Iraq U23 - China U23	0:0 ✺
Arabian Gulf Cup U23
16.12.25	Saudi Arabia U23 - Iraq U23	2:0 ✺
14.12.25	Iraq U23 - Qatar U23	2:1 penalties ✺
10.12.25	Iraq U23 - United Arab Emirates U23	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TTLWW
- Australia U23
AFC Asian Cup U23
11.01.26	China U23 - Australia U23	1:0 ✺
08.01.26	Australia U23 - Thailand U23	2:1 ✺
09.09.25	Australia U23 - China U23	0:0 ✺
06.09.25	Timor-Leste U23 - Australia U23	0:6 ✺
Friendly
05.06.25	South Korea U23 - Australia U23	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Friendly
20.03.24	Australia U23 - Iraq U23	2:1
AFC Asian Cup U23
04.06.22	Iraq U23 - Australia U23	1:1
08.01.20	Iraq U23 - Australia U23	1:1

Iraq U23 - Australia U23: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide