Match Info

AFC Asian Cup U23 - Round 1

Date: 8 January 2026, Thursday

Location: Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium (Riyadh)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, Q Football Asia, TOD
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
China	CCTV-5, iQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8
Croatia	SportKlub 3
Germany	Magenta Sport, Sportdigital1+
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI+
Japan	AbemaTV, DAZN Japan
Kyrgyzstan	KTRK Sports
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Pakistan	Tapmad
Russia	TV Start
South-korea	Coupang Play, SBS Sports
World	Onefootball


	Iraq U23		China U23

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.32	2.98	3.05
	2.79	2.63	3.02	Watch
	2.4	2.75	2.8
	2.46	2.94	3.06	Watch
	2.33	2.85	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.27)	2.83 ↓ (3.04)	2.99 ↓ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Iraq U23
37.1%

Draw
32.3%

China U23
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

29.9%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Iraq U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

China U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	62.5%	37.5%

Iraq U23 - China U23 Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. China U23 will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. China U23 (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sajid L. (G) 13. Fadhil Abbas A. Al Najaf 17. Karrar A. 20. Al Mohammed A. 3. Al Imam J. Duhok 6. Fahim H. 18. Sadeq Mahmoud A. Al Zawraa 15. Mokhalad A. 5. Qasim A. (C) Al Shorta 7. Jameel M. 23. Luay A. Ghaz Al Shamal	16. Li H. (G) Qingdao West Coast 3. He Yiran Changchun Yatai 15. Peng Xiao Shandong Taishan 4. Yusup Umidjan Shanghai Port 2. Hu H. Chengdu Rongcheng 13. Wang B. Den Bosch 6. Xu Bin (C) Qingdao West Coast 20. Li Zhenquan Chongqing Tonglianglong 17. Bao Shimeng Shanghai Port 9. Abduweli Behram Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 10. Wang Y. Zhejiang Professional
Substitutes
8. Abboodi Y. 2. Ali H. 21. Dheyaa L. Al Quwa Al Jawiya 14. Dhumad J. 10. Faisal A. Al Kahraba 19. Haji S. Zakho 11. Nawaf M. Duhok 4. Rasheed A. Maribor 12. Ridha A. (G)	21. Bao Shengxin Zhejiang Professional 18. Chen Zeshi Shandong Taishan 12. Huo Shenping (G) Zhejiang Professional 8. Iminqari M. Chengdu Rongcheng 11. Kuai Jiwen Shanghai Port 5. Liu Haofan Zhejiang Professional 1. Luan Yi (G) Shijiazhuang Gongfu 22. Mao W. Dalian Yingbo 7. Xiang Yuwang Chongqing Tonglianglong 23. Yang A. Qingdao West Coast 14. Yang Haoyu Shanghai Shenhua 19. Zhang A. Zhejiang Professional

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Bao Shimeng ↓, Yang A. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', Yusup Umidjan 🟨,
55', Yang A. 🟨,
64', Karrar A. 🟨,
68', Wang B. ↓, Chen Zeshi ↑,
68', Li Zhenquan ↓, Yang Haoyu ↑,
81', Jameel M. ↓, Nawaf M. ↑,
85', Sadeq Mahmoud A. ↓, Ali H. ↑,
88', Wang Y. ↓, Xiang Yuwang ↑,
88', Abduweli Behram ↓, Kuai Jiwen ↑,

Preview

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Iraq U23
Arabian Gulf Cup U23
16.12.25	Saudi Arabia U23 - Iraq U23	2:0 ✺
14.12.25	Iraq U23 - Qatar U23	2:1 penalties ✺
10.12.25	Iraq U23 - United Arab Emirates U23	1:0 ✺
07.12.25	Oman U23 - Iraq U23	0:2 ✺
Friendly
14.10.25	Tunisia U23 - Iraq U23	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LWWWL
- China U23
Friendly
14.10.25	China U23 - Thailand U23	0:0 ✺
AFC Asian Cup U23
09.09.25	Australia U23 - China U23	0:0 ✺
22.04.24	United Arab Emirates U23 - China U23	1:2 ✺
19.04.24	China U23 - South Korea U23	0:2 ✺
16.04.24	Japan U23 - China U23	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TTWLL

Iraq U23 - China U23: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide