Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2 - Round 12

Date: 15 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Trud stadium Irkutsk (Irkutsk)


	Irkutsk		Saturn Ramenskoye

	1	X	2
	3.31	3.78	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.31 ↑ (3.14)	3.78 ↑ (3.2)	1.88 ↓ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Irkutsk
27.5%

Draw
24.1%

Saturn Ramenskoye
48.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.2%

28.7%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

27.6%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Irkutsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Saturn Ramenskoye has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Saturn Ramenskoye's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Irkutsk than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saturn Ramenskoye than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Tsygulev A. (G) 80. Bogdanov V. 7. Lavrentiev A. 19. Mashnev M. 23. Motovilov F. 28. Naydenov A. 21. Oganichev D. 5. Polorotov A. 38. Pytlev D. 34. Usov A. 33. Yakovlev I.	13. Rusanov V. (G) 46. Dunay V. 88. Frolov Y. 74. Guziev E. 9. Kamlashev D. 2. Koledin Y. 22. Kosarev K. 70. Samko V. 11. Seraskhov A. 18. Sholar A. 42. Ushakhin L.
Substitutes
27. Alekseev S. 37. Belyaev E. 41. Dudarev A. 70. Kalugin D. 99. Lomash A. 11. Lutashev V. 4. Molodnyakov D. 14. Putilov A. 24. Tolmachev V. 71. Vafiev M. (G)	5. Goryainov I. 94. Malyshev V. I. (G) 27. Mazko A. 78. Mukhin E. 17. Starkov I. 77. Stepin M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Guziev E. ⚽,
26', Frolov Y. 🟨,
27', 1 - 1, Yakovlev I. ⚽,
31', Kosarev K. 🟨,
45', 2 - 1, Yakovlev I. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Usov A. ↓, Alekseev S. ↑,
46', Lavrentiev A. ↓, Belyaev E. ↑,
47', 3 - 1, Belyaev E. ⚽,
58', Dunay V. ↓, Stepin M. ↑,
58', Koledin Y. ↓, Goryainov I. ↑,
60', Bogdanov V. ↓, Putilov A. ↑,
65', Kamlashev D. ↓, Mazko A. ↑,
66', 4 - 1, Putilov A. (Pen),
70', Kosarev K. ↓, Starkov I. ↑,
73', Pytlev D. ↓, Kalugin D. ↑,
79', 5 - 1, Motovilov F. ⚽,
81', Belyaev E. 🟨,
82', Yakovlev I. ↓, Lomash A. ↑,
90+3', Motovilov F. 🟨,
90+3', Guziev E. 🟨,
90+3', Seraskhov A. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 5).

Recent performances by Irkutsk have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Saturn is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Saturn may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Saturn will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Irkutsk won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Including home match between the teams, Irkutsk won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Irkutsk
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
08.06.25	Luki-Energiya - Irkutsk	1:1 ✺
01.06.25	Irkutsk - Zenit 2	1:3 ✺
26.05.25	Kosmos Dolgoprudny - Irkutsk	1:1 ✺
18.05.25	Irkutsk - Dynamo Vologda	1:2 ✺
04.05.25	Chertanovo - Irkutsk	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TLTLW
- Saturn Ramenskoye
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
07.06.25	Saturn Ramenskoye - Chertanovo	4:2 ✺
01.06.25	Cherepovets - Saturn Ramenskoye	2:4 ✺
25.05.25	Saturn Ramenskoye - Spartak 2 Moscow	1:2 ✺
17.05.25	Zvezda St. Petersburg - Saturn Ramenskoye	0:2 ✺
11.05.25	Saturn Ramenskoye - Yenisey 2	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
04.08.24	Saturn Ramenskoye - Irkutsk	0:2
10.06.24	Irkutsk - Saturn Ramenskoye	0:4

Irkutsk - Saturn Ramenskoye: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide