Match Info

ISRAEL: Liga Alef South - Round 6

Date: 9 October 2024, Wednesday


	Ironi Modiin		Hapoel Bnei Lod

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.7	5
	1.53	3.8	5.4
	1.52	3.55	5.64
	1.53	3.7	6.09
	1.51	3.7	6.02
	1.53	3.8	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.89)	3.71 ↑ (3.6)	5.59 ↑ (3.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ironi Modiin
59.4%

Draw
24.4%

Hapoel Bnei Lod
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

25.5%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

24.8%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ironi Modiin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ironi Modiin's performance.

Hapoel Bnei Lod has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hapoel Bnei Lod might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ironi Modiin than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ironi Modiin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Bnei Lod than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hapoel Bnei Lod could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Ironi Modiin - Hapoel Bnei Lod Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (4 - 0)
59', Krispin R. 🟥,
73', 1 - 0, Machluf Y. ⚽,
77', 2 - 0, Amsalem G. ⚽,
88', 3 - 0, Edri D. ⚽,
90', 4 - 0, Machluf Y. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Alef ~ Promotion Play Offs (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Alef ~ Promotion Play Offs (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Ironi Modiin is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Hapoel Bnei Lod is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Ironi Modiin is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ironi Modiin won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:1 (average 2.5:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Ironi Modiin won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ironi Modiin
Israeli Liga Alef South
28.09.24	Nordia Jerusalem - Ironi Modiin	0:0 ✺
21.09.24	Ironi Modiin - Tzeirei Tira	2:1 ✺
17.09.24	Hapoel Marmorek - Ironi Modiin	0:0 ✺
13.09.24	Ironi Modiin - Dimona	3:1 ✺
06.09.24	Shimshon Tel Aviv - Ironi Modiin	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TWTWW
- Hapoel Bnei Lod
Israeli Liga Alef South
26.09.24	Hapoel Bnei Lod - Maccabi Yavne	2:3 ✺
20.09.24	Hapoel Herzliya - Hapoel Bnei Lod	1:1 ✺
17.09.24	Hapoel Bnei Lod - Jerusalem FC	4:1 ✺
13.09.24	Shimshon Kafr Qasim - Hapoel Bnei Lod	0:0 ✺
06.09.24	Hapoel Bnei Lod - Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef South
05.04.24	Ironi Modiin - Hapoel Bnei Lod	4:1
12.01.24	Hapoel Bnei Lod - Ironi Modiin	0:1

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