Match Info

Liga Alef North - Round 6

Date: 17 October 2025, Friday


	Ironi Nesher		Hapoel Migdal HaEmek

	1	X	2
	2.08	3.35	3
	2.08	3.37	3.05
	2.73	3.30	2.36	Watch
	2.13	3.3	3.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.76)	3.33 ↑ (3.2)	2.87 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ironi Nesher
40.6%

Draw
27.5%

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

28.3%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

27.5%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ironi Nesher has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ironi Nesher's performance.

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hapoel Migdal HaEmek might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ironi Nesher than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ironi Nesher that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Migdal HaEmek than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hapoel Migdal HaEmek could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ironi Nesher - Hapoel Migdal HaEmek Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+1', 1 - 0, Mizrahi O. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', Tomer E. 🟥,
80', 2 - 0, Razon S. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ironi Nesher won 1.

Ironi Nesher has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Ironi Nesher won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1.1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Ironi Nesher won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ironi Nesher
Israeli Liga Alef North
10.10.25	Hapoel Bnei Araba - Ironi Nesher	2:2 ✺
26.09.25	Ironi Nesher - MS Tira	2:3 ✺
18.09.25	Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel - Ironi Nesher	0:1 ✺
11.09.25	Ironi Nesher - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	2:1 ✺
05.09.25	Hapoel Bnei Musmus - Ironi Nesher	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TLWWT
- Hapoel Migdal HaEmek FC
Israeli Liga Alef North
10.10.25	Hapoel Migdal HaEmek - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	0:4 ✺
Israeli State Cup
30.09.25	Maccabi Bnei Jadeidi-Makr - Hapoel Migdal HaEmek	5:1 ✺
Israeli Liga Alef North
26.09.25	Tzeirey Um El Fahem - Hapoel Migdal HaEmek	0:0 ✺
19.09.25	Hapoel Migdal HaEmek - Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad	1:2 ✺
12.09.25	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad - Hapoel Migdal HaEmek	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef North
03.12.24	Ironi Nesher - Hapoel Migdal HaEmek	0:3
17.02.24	Ironi Nesher - Hapoel Migdal HaEmek	0:1
08.09.23	Hapoel Migdal HaEmek - Ironi Nesher	1:0
24.02.23	Ironi Nesher - Hapoel Migdal HaEmek	2:1
21.10.22	Hapoel Migdal HaEmek - Ironi Nesher	4:2
01.04.22	Ironi Nesher - Hapoel Migdal HaEmek	1:1
17.12.21	Hapoel Migdal HaEmek - Ironi Nesher	0:3

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