Match Info

ITALY: Serie D - Group F - Round 9

Date: 27 October 2024, Sunday


	Isernia		Sambenedettese

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.5	1.71
	3.95	3.56	1.74
	4.14	3.64	1.75
	4.03	3.58	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.01 ↓ (4.16)	3.57 ↓ (3.62)	1.74 ↑ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Isernia
22.6%

Draw
25.3%

Sambenedettese
52.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.9%

25.2%

52.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.2%

30.3%

63.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Isernia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Sambenedettese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Isernia than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sambenedettese than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sambenedettese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Isernia - Sambenedettese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
27', 0 - 1, Lonardo E. ⚽,
43', 0 - 2, Lonardo E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', 0 - 3, Lonardo E. ⚽,
74', 0 - 4, Kerjota S. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Isernia FC
Italian Serie D - Group F
23.10.24	Sora - Isernia	3:4 ✺
20.10.24	Isernia - Termoli	2:1 ✺
13.10.24	Chieti - Isernia	2:2 ✺
22.09.24	Isernia - Vigor Senigallia	0:0 ✺
15.09.24	Isernia - Castelfidardo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.8 WWTTW
- Sambenedettese Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
23.10.24	Sambenedettese - Avezzano	0:1 ✺
13.10.24	Sambenedettese - Roma City	2:1 ✺
29.09.24	Sambenedettese - L Aquila	5:0 ✺
22.09.24	Notaresco - Sambenedettese	1:1 ✺
15.09.24	Sambenedettese - Recanatese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
28.02.16	Sambenedettese - Isernia	1:1

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